Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
2 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
3 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
5 YU Stella 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
6 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
8 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
9 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
10 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
11 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
12 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
13 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
14 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
15 HSIEH Lucia 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
16 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
17 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
18 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
19 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
19 YAN Angela 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
21 PARK Chloe 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
22 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
23 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
24 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
25 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
26 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
27 KIM Saeren 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 2%
28 CHANG Annette 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
29 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
30 YU Skylar 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
31 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
32 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
33 HU Ashley 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
34 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
35 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
36 GONG suri 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
37 WANG April 100% 96% 64% 24% 4% -
38 FAN Tina 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
39 CHEN Cindy 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
40 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% -
41 WANG Makayla 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 2%
42 TABANCAY Ava 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
43 HALPERN Athena 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
44 VENNE Sophie 100% 99% 85% 44% 10% 1%
45 WAN Sophia 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
46 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
47 DUFF Caitlin 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
48 CAO Kim 100% 98% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
49 CAI Joanna 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
49 CHENG Anna 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
51 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
52 CHANG Kylie 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
53 OLESKY Ellie 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
53 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
55 CONG Catherine 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
56 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
57 SHI Maxine 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
58 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
59 LI Bernadette 100% 30% 4% - - -
60 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 76% 29% 5% - - -
61 FAN Yutong 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
62 CORD Sophia 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
63 BRIMMER Bella 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
64 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
65 ARVIND Heera 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
66 LIU Isabel 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
66 LIQUARD Lea 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
68 BAEK Aileen 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
69 MELNIKOV Maya 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
70 SEELMAN Alexa 100% 34% 4% - - -
71 DENG Oscar 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
72 YU Sydney 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
72 WU Aurora 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.