Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
2 HUANG Alex F. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 CHEONG Heonjun - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
3 DEPEW Spencer - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
5 LIM Brandon - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
6 NG Jonathan - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
7 WANG ANDREW CHANG - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
8 BYON Adrian - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
9 GLOZMAN Justin - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
10 TSAO Oliver - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 3%
11 TENG MATTHEW - - - - 4% 27% 69%
12 WANG Will - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
13 LAUB William - 1% 5% 19% 38% 32% 6%
14 WANG Jerry 1% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
15 MCDONALD Finn 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
16 HUANG Alexander C. - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 8%
17 GINSBERG Jordan - - - 6% 28% 44% 21%
18 LEE Andrew - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
19 FREDRICK Jameer 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
20 GONG Jerry - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
21 NGO Maximus - 1% 8% 31% 42% 19%
22 FIELDS Matthew S. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
23 EYBELMAN Ariel - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
24 LIU Kevin - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
25 CHEN Jonathan - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
26 POSY Daniel - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
27 CLARK Aram - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 7%
28 RYAN Kai - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
29 ZEWDA Kebron - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
30 MCCARTHY Devan - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
31 CUSUMANO Neal 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
32 ALAVE Kyle - 3% 15% 37% 33% 11% 1%
33 ZHAO Lucas - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
34 BYON Julian - - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
35 WEN Edward - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
36 LEE Anderson 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
37 LIN Steve - 1% 8% 31% 42% 19%
38 KO Zuriel 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
39 ZHEXUAN yu - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
40 BODKIN Jake M. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
41 PIWOWAR Alex - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
42 RIDKY Sam - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
43 SCHIMEL Luke 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
44 PRIEUR Christian F. 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
45 SIMMONS John M. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
46 VEDRE Neil 11% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
47 HE Bowen 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
48 GONG zihao - 1% 8% 31% 47% 14%
49 FELDMAN Drew - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
50 DIMATTEO Michael 2% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1%
51 HOPPA Luke H. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
52 WANG Michael 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
53 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
54 LIGH Checed 14% 36% 34% 13% 3% - -
55 AO Christopher - 5% 23% 42% 25% 6% -
56 MEHAN Nicholas - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
57 ONG Chinli 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
58 LI Maxwell - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
59 SUBA Lucas - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
60 BADUSHOV Anton - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
61 JONES Elijah 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
62 FADEL Alexander - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
63 MATTINGLY Ian 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% - -
64 OH Aster 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
65 KALOUDIS Sean 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% -
66 MANESCU Miron 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
67 BERGER Jacob 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
68 HERR Gabriele 1% 14% 40% 33% 11% 1%
69 BARROWS Hunter 15% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
70 LIEUWMA Nicolas 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
71 HO Jacob - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
72 MARGULIS Jared - 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
73 SUN Andrew 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
74 LIU Isaak 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
75 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
76 LIN Philip T. - 2% 14% 37% 35% 11%
77 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
78 QUAIL Jonathan 25% 48% 22% 4% - -
79 BHATIA Ekam - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
80 CLARK Gabriel 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
81 HENDERSON Lucas - 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
82 SUGIURA Samuel - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
83 WANG Max - 1% 7% 23% 39% 27% 3%
84 LUAN Mark 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
85 SASSI Ilyas 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
86 IVRON Yonatan 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
87 WANG Yifan 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
88 CHENG Hong - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
89 TSAO Alister 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
90 SAKAYEDA Jacob 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
91 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
92 WEISS Toby 13% 38% 36% 12% 1% - -
93 RINDISBACHER Peter 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
94 ARPAD Mehmet 25% 43% 25% 6% - -
95 PORTER Dupree 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
96 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
97 JIANG Terence 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
97 RAMIREZ Nicholas 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
99 JIN David 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
100 GINGERY Julian 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
101 JACQUES Hugo 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
102 SHELMIDINE Cole 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
102 MAMKIN Nathan 43% 44% 12% 1% - - -
104 CHEN Ryan 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
105 WOLMART Zander 27% 51% 19% 3% - - -
106 BANSAL Krishiv 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
107 WASCO Andrew 10% 49% 32% 8% 1% - -
108 ARPAD Ahmet 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
109 MA ziteng 69% 27% 4% - - - -
110 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
111 ROSADO Sebastian 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
112 JANUS Maksymilian 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
113 YANG Byron 40% 45% 13% 1% - -
114 JAIN Karan 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
115 ANTICO Lorenzo Sebastian 25% 46% 23% 5% 1% - -
115 VARKI Simon 69% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.