Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
2 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
5 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
6 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
7 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
8 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
9 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
10 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
11 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
12 WANG Will 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
13 LAUB William 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
14 WANG Jerry 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
15 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
16 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
17 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 21%
18 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
19 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
20 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
21 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
22 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
23 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
24 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
25 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
26 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
27 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
28 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
29 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
30 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
31 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
32 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 12% 1%
33 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
34 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
35 WEN Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
36 LEE Anderson 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
37 LIN Steve 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
38 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
39 ZHEXUAN yu 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
40 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
41 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
42 RIDKY Sam 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
43 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
44 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
45 SIMMONS John M. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
46 VEDRE Neil 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
47 HE Bowen 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
48 GONG zihao 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 14%
49 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
50 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1%
51 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
52 WANG Michael 100% 98% 84% 52% 21% 4% -
53 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
54 LIGH Checed 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
55 AO Christopher 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
56 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
57 ONG Chinli 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
58 LI Maxwell 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
59 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
60 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
61 JONES Elijah 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
62 FADEL Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
63 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% - -
64 OH Aster 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
65 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 99% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
66 MANESCU Miron 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8% -
67 BERGER Jacob 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
68 HERR Gabriele 100% 99% 85% 45% 12% 1%
69 BARROWS Hunter 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
70 LIEUWMA Nicolas 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
71 HO Jacob 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
72 MARGULIS Jared 100% 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
73 SUN Andrew 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
74 LIU Isaak 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
75 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
76 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
77 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
78 QUAIL Jonathan 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
79 BHATIA Ekam 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
80 CLARK Gabriel 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
81 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
82 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
83 WANG Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
84 LUAN Mark 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
85 SASSI Ilyas 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
86 IVRON Yonatan 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
87 WANG Yifan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
88 CHENG Hong 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
89 TSAO Alister 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
90 SAKAYEDA Jacob 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
91 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
92 WEISS Toby 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% - -
93 RINDISBACHER Peter 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
94 ARPAD Mehmet 100% 75% 32% 6% - -
95 PORTER Dupree 100% 99% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
96 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
97 JIANG Terence 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
97 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
99 JIN David 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -
100 GINGERY Julian 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
101 JACQUES Hugo 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
102 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
102 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
104 CHEN Ryan 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
105 WOLMART Zander 100% 73% 22% 3% - - -
106 BANSAL Krishiv 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
107 WASCO Andrew 100% 90% 41% 9% 1% - -
108 ARPAD Ahmet 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
109 MA ziteng 100% 31% 4% - - - -
110 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
111 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
112 JANUS Maksymilian 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
113 YANG Byron 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
114 JAIN Karan 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
115 ANTICO Lorenzo Sebastian 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
115 VARKI Simon 100% 31% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.