University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KANG Jeremy | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 2 | GRIGORIEV Roman | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | LUC Linkin | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | VO Blake | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 5 | LI Ryan | V V V D V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 6 | YUEN Caleb | V V D V V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 7 | SRIVATSAV Ishaan | V V V V D | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 8 | VAN ROY Ray | V D V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 9 | XIE Andrew | V D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 10 | HO Alden | D V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 11 | WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole | V V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 12 | YUE Ivan | V V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 13 | DECHEV Vlad | V D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 14 | CAO Chuck | V D V D V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 15 | THOMAS Liam | V V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 16 | CHAN Troy | V V V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 17 | CHANG William | V D V V D V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 18 | 曾 ZIMO | V V D D V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 19 | WU Dawei | D V V V D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 20 | GOTTSCHALK Theodore | V V D D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 21 | ESTEVES Andres | D V D V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 22 | ORLINO Sam | D V V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 23 | NGUYEN Drake | D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 24 | JI Derek | D D V V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 25 | MALLARD Arthur | D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 26 | GUO Jonathan | D D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 27 | SRIVATSAV Anay | D D V D V D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 28 | SCHILLA Max | D D D V D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 29 | XU Ethan | D D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 30 | WANG James | D D D D D D | V D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 31 | TAN Daniel | D D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 31 | YU Albert | D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 33 | LUO Gavin | V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 34 | IRVINE Cooper | D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 35 | YU Joshua | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 36 | GUAN Dylan | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 37 | ZHANG Hanzhi | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.