Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
2 MACKAY Katherine 100% 97% 80% 46% 17% 3% -
3 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
3 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
5 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
6 BAINS Nandini 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
7 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
8 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
9 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
10 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
11 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
12 BROWN Aria 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
13 CHI Claire 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
14 STADNIK Emilia 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
15 LIU Kelly 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 2%
15 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
17 DENNER Jasmina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
18 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 15%
19 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 8% 1%
20 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
20 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
22 KIM Audrey 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
23 SHMULER Fiona 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
24 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
25 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
26 ALAMI Amira 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
27 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
28 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
29 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
30 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
31 STEYER Meredith J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
32 NAYAK Antara 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
33 GETZONI Mary 100% 35% 5% < 1% - - -
34 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
35 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2%
36 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 74% 35% 10% 2% - -
37 NAYAK Anika 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
38 CHEN Jia 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
39 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
40 SCHLIENGER Katia 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
40 ERBSEN Sarah 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
42 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.