Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 11:00 AM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 CAO Chuck 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
3 WANG James 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
3 曾 ZIMO 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
5 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
6 DUFF Michael 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
7 NGUYEN Javid 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
8 JI Derek 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 TAN Daniel 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
10 LUO Gavin 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% -
11 WU August 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
12 GUAN Dylan 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
13 MALLARD Arthur 100% 94% 62% 22% 3% -
14 IRVINE Cooper 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
15 ZHANG Yuanhang (Peter) 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
16 CANNON Rowen 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
17 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
18 LEE Caleb 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
19 KIM Connor 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.