Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 2:00 PM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANKINS Morgan - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 FISCHBEIN Quinley - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
3 MIYOSHI Kylie 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
3 FU Shannon - 1% 8% 24% 37% 26% 5%
5 DYMAR Anna - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
6 CHI Zoe 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
7 LI Anna - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
8 ARULKUMAR Lashia 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
9 ZHAO Emma 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
10 BUDMAN Ava 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
11 SUNG Audrey 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
12 CHEN Julia Z. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
13 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
14 PACHECO Carys 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
15 SINGLETARY Iona 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
16 ZHAO Ellie 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1%
17 CHANG Allison 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
18 ZU Jacqueline 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
19 YANG Emma 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
20 LI Allison 33% 42% 20% 5% - -
21 KIM Vivian 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
22 VIJAY Vaishnavi - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
23 YU Jiaming 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
24 RASHID Summer 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% -
25 ERISMAN Gabriella 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.