Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 2:00 PM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
3 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8%
3 FU Shannon 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
5 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
6 CHI Zoe 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
7 LI Anna 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
8 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
9 ZHAO Emma 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
10 BUDMAN Ava 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
11 SUNG Audrey 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 1% -
12 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
13 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
14 PACHECO Carys 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
15 SINGLETARY Iona 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
16 ZHAO Ellie 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
17 CHANG Allison 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
18 ZU Jacqueline 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
19 YANG Emma 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
20 LI Allison 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
21 KIM Vivian 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
22 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
23 YU Jiaming 100% 93% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
24 RASHID Summer 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
25 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.