University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CRICOL Damian | D V V V D | V V V V V | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 2 | LEE Nathan Uju | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | KANG Jeremy | V D V V V V | V V V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 3 | GRIGORIEV Roman | D V V V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 5 | KANG Matthew | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 6 | YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 7 | SRIVATSAV Ishaan | D V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 8 | GRAEHL Ian | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 9 | BEKDJANOV Arthur | V V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 10 | SU Kingston | V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 11 | ANUMULA Aryan | V V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 12 | VAN ROY Ray | V V D D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 13 | WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole | D V V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 14 | YUEN Caleb | D V V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 15 | GONZALEZ Mark | V D V D V | V | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 16 | ALONZO Brennan | V V D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 17 | MILLS Conrad | V V V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 18 | LI Ryan | D V V D V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 19 | LUC Linkin | V D V V V D | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 20 | YUE Ivan | V V V V D D | D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 21 | WU Dawei | V D D V V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 22 | THOMAS Liam | V D D V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 23 | KEIM Jackson | V D D V D V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 24 | HERNANDEZ Antonio | V D D D V V | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 25 | TSENG Cooper | D D D V D V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 26 | GUO Jonathan | V D D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 27 | SUN Tiger | V D V D D D | V D | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| 28 | SRIVATSAV Anay | D V D D V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 29 | AMEN Oscar | V D D V D D | V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 30 | IRVINE Patrick | D D V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 31 | XU Ethan | D D D D D V | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 32 | BOYCE Elliot | D D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 33 | NGUYEN Drake | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 34 | YU Joshua | D V D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 35 | LOENKO Matvey | D D V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 36 | DOMINGUEZ ALEJANDRO JAVIER | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 37 | YU Albert | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 38 | SUN William | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 39 | RAMANISHKA Dzmitry | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 40 | AU Elliot | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.