Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
2 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
3 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
3 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
5 CHIANG William 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
6 KATS Brandon 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
7 YU David 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
8 FOGEL Jake 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
9 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
10 NG Nico 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
11 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 8%
12 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
13 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
14 BRESLAV Asher 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
15 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
16 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
17 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
18 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
19 CHO Adrian 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
20 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
21 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
22 KOIVUNEN Sean 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
23 HENNESSY Levon 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
24 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
25 GRANT Aidan 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
26 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
27 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
28 MA Brendon 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
29 SMITH Theo 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
30 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
31 DAI Jason 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
32 VASILEV Victor 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
33 WITHERELL Logan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
34 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
34 CHEN Cameron 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
36 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 9% 1%
37 LEE Ryan 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
38 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
39 SHI Evan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
40 GAO Ryan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
41 DAND Zahin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25% 3%
42 SI Anderson 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
43 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
44 GARRETSON Luke 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
45 ROBINSON Blake 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
46 ZHAO Xinkai 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 3% -
47 GROVER Aditya 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
48 RUDIGER George 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
49 YAO Irvine 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
50 MALLAKIS Efstathios 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
51 YOON Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
52 KIM Louie 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
53 MUELLER Travis 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
54 DINIC Pavle 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
54 DAVIS Zane 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
56 LI Nolan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.