The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG JiaQi - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 KWON Ava - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
3 MEYERSON Michelle - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
3 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 8% 32% 48% 12%
5 NEMORIN Rei - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
6 FOSS Persephone - - 2% 8% 26% 40% 25%
7 GONG Joy - - 1% 9% 31% 45% 13%
8 FRAZIER Chloe 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1%
9 CHOWDHERY Myra - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
10 FUNG Iris - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
11 LIANG Claire - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
12 MAK Jayden - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
13 PARK Haylie - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
14 TA-ZHOU Sophia 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
15 BANDHU Saahiti 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
16 ZHAO Selena 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
17 PATEL Maia 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
18 LEE Grace - 2% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
19 MULLER Inara - 1% 9% 25% 37% 23% 4%
20 HUANG Pierra 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
21 HAGLER Alice 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
22 KIM Grace 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
23 FONG Zoe 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
24 WANG Keyu - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
25 YERENKOVA Ameliia 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
26 ZHANG Audrey 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
27 ALMEDA Galina - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
28 JOHN Sophia 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
29 GOEL Lineysha 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
30 NEGROIU Mara 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
31 MOTOVA Masha 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
32 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
33 SEO Kaitlyn - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
34 CAFAGNA Sofia - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
35 JUN Sofia 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
36 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
37 WANG MONA 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
38 CHAU Zoey 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
39 KIM Eunjae 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
40 YOUNG Sienna 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
41 MALUKI Nia 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5%
42 STOLCKE Saskia 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
43 KABILING Anika Von Marie - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
44 WANG Chloe 13% 34% 34% 15% 4% - -
45 CHEN Chloe 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
46 YIN Xizi - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
47 YAP Anna 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
48 LIAO Amber 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
49 ZHANG Zoe Muchen 1% 23% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
50 SAGER Bianca 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
51 CHANG Grace 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
52 LIU Teresa - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
53 FADEL Emma - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
54 PASSMAN Caroline 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
55 HURÉ Maïa 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
56 SMITH Genevieve 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
57 BAO Amelia 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
58 FUNG Dylan 2% 14% 33% 34% 16% 3%
59 MOFFITT Charlotte 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
60 KARAVAS Lucy 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
60 VARAH Alaia 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
62 GRONEMEYER Emily 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.