The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Motor City SYC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Olivia - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
2 KOU Elisha - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
3 HU Sophie - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
3 TAO Isabella - - 3% 30% 60% 7%
5 KIM Audrey 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
6 JAZWINSKI Ivy - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
6 ZHANG Priscilla - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
8 KUANG Xiyan - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
9 CHEN Yinuo 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
10 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - 2% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
11 FRASER Morgan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
12 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
13 CHOI Evelyn - - - 2% 21% 77%
14 CHAN Hailey - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
15 WU Gloria - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
16 YANG Olivia - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
17 CULLIVAN Elise - 2% 14% 37% 36% 10% 1%
18 MA Sophia 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
19 KIM Yuna 1% 8% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
20 XU Selina (Tai Ran) - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
21 HOM Emma 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
22 XU Charlene - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
23 KASHUBA Mila 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
24 ZHANG Selina 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
25 LALONDE Beatrice - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
26 WELTER Gemma - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
27 IANNI Isabel - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
28 LU Miaotian 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
29 LIU Anya - 5% 26% 50% 18% 1%
30 SHI Micah 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
31 LIU Sophia 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
32 EVOLA Ellie 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
33 HEWITT Madison 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
34 FAROOQI Eliora 2% 20% 52% 23% 3% -
35 GANOCY Sloane 33% 49% 16% 2% - -
36 SAVIOZ Naomi - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
37 WANG Christina 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
38 HUANG Emma 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
39 LEE Eun-Hae 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
40 ZEE Bella 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
40 LIN Megan 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
42 JONES Parker 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
43 MARENITCH Kara 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
44 FANG Savannah 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
45 XU Scarlett 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
46 KAGAN Natalie 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
47 KIM Gia 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
48 GONG Maggie 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
48 JIMÉNEZ PELAY Claudia - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20% 1%
50 KIM Yane - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
51 GARRISON Emersyn - 1% 6% 27% 42% 22% 2%
52 YU Reecy 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
53 HUANG Cynthia 36% 48% 15% 1% - -
54 CAMELLINI Emily 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
55 ZHENG Skyler 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.