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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
2 GUGALA Hanna - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
3 LEOU Korina - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
3 SHI Julia - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
5 LIU Zhi Jun - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
6 ATTIA Jasmine - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
7 MONTORIO Lily M. - 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
8 MANKOVA Varvara - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
9 TENG EMMA 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
10 SCOTT Eve - - 1% 7% 30% 44% 18%
11 JEONG Katie - - - 3% 18% 45% 35%
12 MACKAY Katherine - 6% 37% 40% 14% 2% -
13 UEMOTO Lynn 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
14 BUSH Bethany 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
15 BERMAN greta - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
16 LOO Kaitlyn 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
17 LI Alexis - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
18 BAINS Nandini 8% 33% 38% 17% 4% < 1% -
19 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - - 1% 12% 41% 47%
20 KIM Audrey 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
21 KANDADAI Lara 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
22 CHI Claire 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
23 LI Sonia 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
24 GUVEN Coco - - 3% 20% 43% 29% 6%
25 LAURI Keira - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
26 KWON Ava 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
27 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
28 BAEZ Sophia 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
29 CONNOLLY Vida 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
30 SHMULER Fiona 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
31 NAYAK Antara 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
32 PRESANTH Nandana 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
33 VINOKUR Anita 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
34 ZHANG Sophie - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
35 GENTILE Vittoria 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
36 MCGRAW Sadie 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2%
37 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
38 MALEK Zolie - 1% 10% 29% 39% 19% 3%
39 DONG Angel - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
40 TESTROET Aubrey 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
41 NAYAK Esha 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
42 QIU Katherine - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
43 MARYASH Samantha - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
44 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
44 MAK Kaitlin - 3% 27% 44% 22% 4% -
46 CROOKS Riley 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
47 BERRIOS Catalina 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
48 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
49 KHOST Maeve 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
50 MERMEGAS Olivia 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
51 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
52 BIRNSTILL Reese 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
53 HUANG Rachael - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
54 FAVO Isabella - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
55 BOLT - TURNER Carmen 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
56 SHELLEY Scarlett 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
56 REKHTMAN Alice 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
58 VISWANATHAN Nishka 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
59 HARRISON Allie 28% 56% 14% 1% - - -
60 FLATT Sophia 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
61 KALISHMAN Anna 27% 44% 24% 5% 1% -
62 MYAT Chloe 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
63 BEN SHAHAR-PYKE Lola Rae 55% 40% 5% - - - -
64 HO Sophia 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
65 BARNES Sarah 50% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.