The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Mission SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 12:30 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUNG Katerina - - - 6% 48% 45%
2 JING Emily - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 SHEN Lydia - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
3 CHEN Allison V. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 24%
5 NAMGALAURI Mariam - - - 7% 51% 41%
6 PEVZNER Victoria - - - - 2% 22% 76%
7 TAN Kaitlyn N. - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
8 SEO IRENE Y. - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
9 CHO Rebecca H. - - 5% 22% 40% 29% 3%
10 LI Rachel Y. - 1% 8% 36% 46% 9%
11 ZHAO Aileen Y. - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
12 CHUSID Mikayla - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
13 SENIC Adeline - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
14 ZHANG Alina C. - - - 4% 30% 65%
15 WONG Sophia M. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
16 EYER Hailey M. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
17 GOOR Viviene E. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
18 SIMONOV Dasha - - 2% 13% 35% 40% 10%
19 SU Michelle - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
20 KOKES Gwendolen - 4% 25% 46% 22% 2%
21 LEE Lavender - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
22 FU Qihan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
23 LIU Jaelyn A. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
24 LIU Angel(Daying) - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10% 1%
25 SHA Yi Ling - 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
26 WILLIS Fletcher L. - 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1%
27 KAPUSTINA Arina 1% 22% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
28 ORVANANOS Anice - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
29 KULKARNI Sohah A. 1% 13% 39% 40% 6% -
30 CHARALEL Jessica 8% 34% 42% 15% 1% -
31 GOLBIN Ariella J. 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
32 GU EMILY 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
33 DAVIES Ellie 2% 21% 45% 27% 5% -
34 LIN Victoria T. - 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% -
35 CHOW Annabelle 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
36 LEVY Avery 15% 44% 34% 8% - -
37 SOLDATOVA Maria 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
38 WANG Yudi 10% 37% 36% 14% 3% -
39 SHMAY Anastasia 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
39 HOU Wendong 4% 40% 39% 14% 2% -
41 TANG Sophia 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
42 ZHENG Julie - 9% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
43 NISSINOFF Alexandra 17% 57% 23% 3% - - -
44 WANG Jasmine 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
45 ZHOU Olivia 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
46 SHIM Grace 16% 49% 29% 5% - -
47 STIEGELMAIER AnnaGrace 85% 14% 1% - - -
48 CHEN Thea 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
49 ROHRING Anna L. 66% 30% 3% - - - -
49 SHTENGER Julia 89% 11% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.