Bill Starr 4th memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 OZAWA Taishi - 1% 12% 40% 47%
2 MCMILLIAN Harrison - 5% 27% 48% 20%
3 ZHOU Justin - 1% 12% 43% 44%
3 KAGAN Noah 2% 15% 40% 36% 7%
5 SYMMANK Callen 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
6 LINEBERRY CADEN - 5% 23% 45% 27%
7 FERGUSON Levi 4% 23% 43% 27% 3%
8 DIFRANK Tae 6% 33% 43% 16% 2%
9 XU Rambert - 4% 21% 46% 29%
10 ALVA Anmol 5% 26% 43% 24% 2%
11 WILSON Jacob 2% 15% 36% 36% 12%
12 WENGER Rowan 3% 21% 43% 28% 4%
13 MORALES Tycho 11% 36% 36% 14% 2%
14 KALINA Levi 4% 21% 40% 28% 7%
15 CRONK Trevor 43% 41% 14% 2% -
16 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 10% 40% 38% 12% 1%
17 KOTCH Brodie 14% 40% 35% 10% 1%
18 FLOOD Moe 2% 18% 40% 32% 9%
19 STAMPS Jasper 1% 8% 34% 42% 16%
20 RITTER Nathan D. 16% 41% 33% 9% 1%
21 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 25% 44% 25% 6% -
22 CHEN Evan 30% 43% 22% 5% -
23 SHAH Aadi 51% 39% 9% 1% -
24 CHEN Kyle 11% 40% 36% 12% 1%
24 PARK Nathan 21% 42% 29% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.