Bill Starr 4th memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
2 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 95% 68% 20%
3 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
3 KAGAN Noah 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
5 SYMMANK Callen 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
6 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
7 FERGUSON Levi 100% 96% 73% 29% 3%
8 DIFRANK Tae 100% 94% 61% 18% 2%
9 XU Rambert 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
10 ALVA Anmol 100% 95% 70% 27% 2%
11 WILSON Jacob 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
12 WENGER Rowan 100% 97% 76% 32% 4%
13 MORALES Tycho 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
14 KALINA Levi 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
15 CRONK Trevor 100% 57% 15% 2% -
16 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 90% 51% 13% 1%
17 KOTCH Brodie 100% 86% 46% 11% 1%
18 FLOOD Moe 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
19 STAMPS Jasper 100% 99% 92% 58% 16%
20 RITTER Nathan D. 100% 84% 43% 10% 1%
21 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 100% 75% 31% 6% -
22 CHEN Evan 100% 70% 27% 5% -
23 SHAH Aadi 100% 49% 10% 1% -
24 CHEN Kyle 100% 89% 49% 13% 1%
24 PARK Nathan 100% 79% 37% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.