The Battle of the Bay D1A ROC - Women's Epee Rescheduled

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 10:00 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 CHANG Celine A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
3 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
5 XU Serena 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
6 VERA Kalista R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
7 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
8 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
9 ZMURK Emma M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 61%
10 LIN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 9%
11 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
12 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
13 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
14 CHIEM Karen 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
15 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
16 DUONG Zoey 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
17 DAYAL Saahira 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
18 DALEY Keira 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
19 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
20 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
21 ENRILE Erica 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
22 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
23 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
24 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
25 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
26 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 99% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
27 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
28 MITTMAN Lela Z. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
29 BURICEA Ada 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
30 BLOOMER Suzanne 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
31 LYNCH Kristin A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
32 YIN Gabriela 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
33 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
34 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
35 BHATT Anisha 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
36 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
37 CHANG Heidi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
38 COHEN Shaina 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
39 JAMES Ashley 100% 95% 56% 18% 3% - -
40 LIN ariel 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
41 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
42 XU Celina 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
43 AIRES Julia 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
44 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 99% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
45 MADRID Maureen 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
46 RADOV Una 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
47 CHUNG Penelope 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
48 OBENCHAIN Janel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
49 LEE Emily 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
50 BUCA Nora 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
51 KANDALA Aanya 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
52 EYUNNI Vibha 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
53 JAIN Aashi 100% 8% - - - - -
54 JAIN Prisha 100% 21% 2% - - - -
55 NAZARENKO Sasha 100% 5% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.