Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 11:45 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
2 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
6 FOTIYEV Alan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
7 MEI Yujie 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
8 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 10%
9 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
10 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
11 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 6%
12 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
13 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
14 MANESCU Miron 100% 99% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
15 ZHOU Grant 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
16 WANG Jerry 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
17 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
18 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
19 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
20 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
21 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
22 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
23 TOZZI Massimo 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
24 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
25 RYAN Kai 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1% -
26 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
27 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 4% -
28 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
29 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3% -
30 AO Christopher 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
31 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
32 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 88% 45% 12% 2% - -
33 FORD Tyler J. 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -
34 SUN Andrew 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
35 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
36 KLEVA Logan 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
37 IMRAN Saaim Imran 100% 37% 5% - - - -
38 BAHK Caleb 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
39 JANUS Maksymilian 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
40 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
41 RIDKY Sam 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
42 GAYEVSKY Maximilian 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
43 LIM Brandon 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
44 WOLMART Zander 100% 34% 5% - - - -
45 PODDAR Shameek 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
46 LIGH Checed 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
47 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
48 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
48 BARAVARIAN Joshua 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.