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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DRAGON Rainer - - - 1% 18% 80%
2 CHAVAN Arya - 4% 22% 44% 29% 2%
3 LEE Sophia - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 MCSWEENEY Kylie 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
5 WANG Elysia - - - 5% 31% 64%
6 MANKOVA Varvara - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
7 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
8 LOURENCO Alexandra 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
9 BIRNSTILL Reese 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
10 MYAT Chloe 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
11 MACKAY Katherine 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
11 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 3% 29% 43% 21% 4% -
13 NEUMAN Ella 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
14 COLTER Aurora - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
15 YEN Natalie - 3% 19% 42% 32% 5%
16 KHOST Maeve 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
17 NAYAK Esha - 5% 26% 43% 24% 2%
18 MANI Francesca B. 2% 23% 43% 26% 5% -
19 NAYAK Antara 2% 27% 44% 22% 4% -
20 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
21 YOUNG Audrey - 4% 21% 43% 29% 4%
22 LAGOON Miriam 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
23 SHEN Emily 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
24 LIM Alexa J. 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
25 LOCONTO Sophia 6% 25% 38% 25% 7% -
26 MAROSFOI Virag 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
27 HARRISON Allie 73% 24% 3% - - -
28 BAINS Nandini 3% 31% 43% 20% 3% -
29 SIMMONS Kinley 78% 20% 2% - - -
30 BARRY Mya 39% 42% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.