Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 2%
3 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
5 WANG Elysia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
6 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 28%
7 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
8 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
9 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
10 MYAT Chloe 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
11 MACKAY Katherine 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
11 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 97% 68% 25% 4% -
13 NEUMAN Ella 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
14 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
15 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 5%
16 KHOST Maeve 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
17 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 94% 69% 25% 2%
18 MANI Francesca B. 100% 98% 75% 32% 6% -
19 NAYAK Antara 100% 98% 70% 26% 4% -
20 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
21 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 4%
22 LAGOON Miriam 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
23 SHEN Emily 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
24 LIM Alexa J. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
25 LOCONTO Sophia 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
26 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
27 HARRISON Allie 100% 27% 3% - - -
28 BAINS Nandini 100% 97% 65% 23% 3% -
29 SIMMONS Kinley 100% 22% 2% - - -
30 BARRY Mya 100% 61% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.