California State High School Fencing Championships

High School Men's Epee

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chaminade High School - West Hills, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAZARIAN Jonah - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
2 SCHROEDER Dylan - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 DENISON Declan - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
3 WARD Edward - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
5 POSSON Luke - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
6 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison - - - - 3% 23% 73%
7 CHARETTE Matthew 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
8 NOURAFCHAN Jonah - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
9 PEÑA Ethan - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
10 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
11 PAINTER Noah - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14% 1%
12 SHIN Ryan - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
13 KIM Tristan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
14 LUNDE Drew 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
15 STAFFORD Bryan - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
16 BECK Eli - 1% 9% 25% 37% 23% 4%
17 BAILIN Tyler 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
18 SCHERZAY Ian 7% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
19 GRAHAM DICKINSON Jayden 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
20 CLARKE Luca 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
21 FRIEDMAN Lucas 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
22 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
22 GAINSLEY Isaac 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
24 GUILLERMO Dante 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
25 BANGAYAN Anthony 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
26 JONES Rodney 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
27 GARCIA Miguel 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
28 YANAI Charlie 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
29 WELLS William 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
30 HUNTINGTON Charles 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
31 BYRNE Quinlan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
32 PALAPA Yair 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
33 ZAPATA Matthew 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
33 BISSADA Matthew 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
35 SERAPIO Jose 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.