California State High School Fencing Championships

High School Men's Epee

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chaminade High School - West Hills, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 54% 16%
2 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
3 WARD Edward 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 POSSON Luke 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
6 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
7 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
8 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
9 PEÑA Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
10 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
11 PAINTER Noah 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
12 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
13 KIM Tristan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
14 LUNDE Drew 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
15 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
16 BECK Eli 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 4%
17 BAILIN Tyler 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
18 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
19 GRAHAM DICKINSON Jayden 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
20 CLARKE Luca 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
21 FRIEDMAN Lucas 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
22 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
22 GAINSLEY Isaac 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
24 GUILLERMO Dante 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
25 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
26 JONES Rodney 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
27 GARCIA Miguel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
28 YANAI Charlie 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
29 WELLS William 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
30 HUNTINGTON Charles 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
31 BYRNE Quinlan 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
32 PALAPA Yair 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
33 ZAPATA Matthew 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
33 BISSADA Matthew 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% - -
35 SERAPIO Jose 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.