15th Annual Hespenheide Memorial Tournament

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 11:00 AM

York Fencing Club - York, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHEA William 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
2 LIU Anthony 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 9%
3 GODIN Willis 100% 100% 93% 35% 5% -
3 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 35%
5 CHECKEYE Daniel J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
5 LEE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 45%
7 ROSA II Carl D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
8 GANT Ansley 100% 94% 62% 20% 1% -
9 RUSEN Gary V. 100% 99% 78% 38% 9% 1%
10 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% -
11 NAUGHTON Aidan 100% 94% 65% 24% 3% -
12 LEE Hans 100% 100% 95% 69% 23% 2%
13 LEITCH Jeffry 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
14 BEITZELL Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 66% 19% 2%
15 GRIETZER Elizabeth 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
16 ALLEN Augustus 100% 77% 29% 4% - -
17 STENSON Alyssa 100% 80% 23% 3% - -
18 NESTERUK Hope 100% 47% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.