Event Results
Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 2 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | HITCHCOCK David | D D V V D V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 3 | GAINES Aaron | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 5 | O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 6 | HABIB Farooq | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 7 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 8 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | V D V V D V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 9 | BARREIRO Darren | V V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 10 | STEWART Robert | D V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 11 | ROBERTS Peter | V V V D V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 12 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V V D D V | V D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| 13 | BAILEY Creston P. | D V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 14 | HARGROVE Charles | D V D V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 15 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | D V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 16 | PENGELLY Neil | D D V V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 17 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V V V D V V | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 18 | KAUFMAN Joel H. | V D V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 19 | PRIHODKO Andrew | V V D D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 20 | HUNTER Justin | V D D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 21 | YAKIMENKO Andrei | V V D D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 22 | SUPONYA Sergey | V D V V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 23 | SPRINGER Michael | V D V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 24 | MEHALL Michael | D V V D D V | V D | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| 25 | LE DEVEHAT Yannick | D V D V D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 26 | GREENBAUM Isaac | D D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 27 | SPEICHER Eric V. | D V D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 28 | HILLSTROM Nathan | D D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 29 | KRYLTSOV Greg | V D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 30 | HELGE James R. | D D D D D V | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 31 | WILSON Jeffrey M. | D D D V D D | V D | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| 32 | GAO "George" Xiaojiang | D V D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 33 | GERSEN Jacob | V D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 34 | CLAWSON Brian C. | V D V D V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 35 | EXUM Travis H. | V V D V D D | D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 36 | NEMAZIE David A. | V D V D V D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 37 | OKURA Ethan R. | D D V D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 38 | GREGORY Dean | D D V D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 39 | EDWARDS Tim | V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 40 | KERTESZ Stefan G. | D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 41 | GATES Darcy C. | D V D D D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 42 | KUO Michael | D D D D V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 43 | JEFFCOAT Timothy | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | ROGERS John D. | D D D V D D | D | 0.1 | 1 | +0.9 |
| 45 | MCNAMARA Scott | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 46 | LOGUE Paul | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |