Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 2 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | HITCHCOCK David | D D V V D V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 3 | GAINES Aaron | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 5 | O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 6 | HABIB Farooq | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 7 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 8 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | V D V V D V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 9 | BARREIRO Darren | V V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 10 | STEWART Robert | D V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 11 | ROBERTS Peter | V V V D V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 12 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V V D D V | V D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| 13 | BAILEY Creston P. | D V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 14 | HARGROVE Charles | D V D V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 15 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | D V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 16 | PENGELLY Neil | D D V V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 17 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V V V D V V | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 18 | KAUFMAN Joel H. | V D V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 19 | PRIHODKO Andrew | V V D D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 20 | HUNTER Justin | V D D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 21 | YAKIMENKO Andrei | V V D D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 22 | SUPONYA Sergey | V D V V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 23 | SPRINGER Michael | V D V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 24 | MEHALL Michael | D V V D D V | V D | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| 25 | LE DEVEHAT Yannick | D V D V D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 26 | GREENBAUM Isaac | D D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 27 | SPEICHER Eric V. | D V D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 28 | HILLSTROM Nathan | D D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 29 | KRYLTSOV Greg | V D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 30 | HELGE James R. | D D D D D V | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 31 | WILSON Jeffrey M. | D D D V D D | V D | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| 32 | GAO "George" Xiaojiang | D V D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 33 | GERSEN Jacob | V D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 34 | CLAWSON Brian C. | V D V D V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 35 | EXUM Travis H. | V V D V D D | D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 36 | NEMAZIE David A. | V D V D V D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 37 | OKURA Ethan R. | D D V D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 38 | GREGORY Dean | D D V D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 39 | EDWARDS Tim | V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 40 | KERTESZ Stefan G. | D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 41 | GATES Darcy C. | D V D D D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 42 | KUO Michael | D D D D V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 43 | JEFFCOAT Timothy | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | ROGERS John D. | D D D V D D | D | 0.1 | 1 | +0.9 |
| 45 | MCNAMARA Scott | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 46 | LOGUE Paul | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.