Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Robert - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
2 KIM Shaun M. - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 HJERPE Wade H. - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
3 CHOI Silas - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
5 WANG Nicolas - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
6 DENNER Maximilian P. - - 2% 17% 47% 34%
7 HUANG Ethan F. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
8 LIN Daniel - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
9 WU Roger (Mengke) - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
10 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
11 KWALWASSER Eric - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 13%
12 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
13 GUFFEY Christopher - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
14 CHAN Matthew - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
15 BARRIOS Diego 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
16 HUANG Alex F. - - 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
17 YUN Jaesun - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
18 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
19 CHEONG Heonjun - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
20 HU Christopher - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
21 REN James - - 1% 10% 32% 42% 14%
22 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
23 FELDMAN Drew 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
24 KANG Evan R. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
25 BAE Jason I. - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
26 TONG ZACHARY - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
27 ERMAKOV Semeon - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
28 KUSHKOV Daniel - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
29 KALPATHY Rohit - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
30 KILARI Krish - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
31 ROE Finnegan 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
32 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
33 LI Howard - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
34 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
35 JOO Jeein - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
35 PRIMUS Nazir - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
37 CHTERENTAL Alex - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
38 CRAIG Samuel - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
39 OH Triton - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
40 BERRIO Carter E. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
41 MATTOO Surya 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
42 BYON Julian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
43 LIM William J. - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
44 STURN Oliver - 1% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
45 LEE Justin - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
46 VAID Luke 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
46 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
48 FLOT Tai A. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
49 YANG Ziyi - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 8%
50 ZENG Noah - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
51 PENG Bryan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
52 HOLZ William A. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23%
53 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
54 ZHENG LEON 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
55 SLASTIN Andrew - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
56 LIANG Connor - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
57 LEE Aydan J. - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
58 HOLZ Daniel - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
59 PATIL Aaryan A. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
60 MARGULIES William - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
61 KANG Evan 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
62 KIM Ethan - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
63 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
64 ZHAO Lucas 1% 19% 40% 30% 10% 1%
65 ERMAKOV Lev - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
66 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
67 SUN George - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
68 KROON Lucas - 4% 21% 39% 27% 7% 1%
69 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
70 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 2% 17% 40% 32% 8% 1%
71 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 3%
72 MUNGUIA Nathan 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
73 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
74 NG Jonathan - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
75 LE Hayden - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
76 WILSON Jude - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
77 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
78 SU Landon - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
79 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
80 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
81 PI Alexander - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
82 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 11%
83 ZHEXUAN yu 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
84 MEHAN Nicholas 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
85 KIM ELIJAH - 4% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
86 EYBELMAN Ariel 6% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
87 MAKLIN Edward P. 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
88 TIAGI Daniel 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
89 WANG Daniel 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
90 PIWOWAR Alex - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
91 QIU Nathan - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
92 LIN Maxim 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
93 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
94 RAMANAN Govind 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
94 GILSHTEYN Jacob 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
96 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 3% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
97 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
97 PASTORE LIU Vince 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
99 PINTO Marcus 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
100 CHEN Jonathan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
101 LUO George F. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
101 LIN Steve 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
103 WANG Will 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
104 HONG Steven - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
105 GOLDIN Lucca 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
106 SO Preston 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
107 KATZ Ryan 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
108 SZULIM Lucjan 34% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
109 SIMMONS John M. 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
110 CHABENAT Guillaume 1% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1%
111 YANG Dylan 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
112 PATEL Rayn 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
113 POFF Kainoa 2% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
114 WANG Charles 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
115 YAN Kevin 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
116 BYON Adrian 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
117 LEE Noah 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
118 DOLAN Charles R. 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
119 CHON Collin 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
120 FENG Leo - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
120 SO Hananiah - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
120 VAROQUA Nalby 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
123 MATTOO Deven 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
123 ATWOOD Griffin 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
125 KOGAN Ben - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
126 HUANG Alexander C. 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
127 CHAVES Matthew J. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
128 LIN Philip T. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
129 VEDRE Neil 50% 38% 11% 1% - -
130 GLOZMAN Justin 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
131 BOSITA Carson 3% 21% 38% 29% 9% 1%
132 ZUBATIY Samuel - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
133 HOTHA Nikhil 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
134 GHAYALOD ansh - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
135 HWANG Jayden 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
136 DEPEW Spencer 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
137 MAY Griffin M. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
137 WANG William 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
139 HU Zhao Xuanyu 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
140 ANDRES Michael 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
140 MEI Yujie 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
142 CHAN Aidan 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
143 YAN William 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
144 ZHANG Ethan W. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
145 BADUSHOV Anton 6% 32% 39% 18% 4% - -
146 SHANKAR Karthik 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
147 LI Yiwei - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
148 LUHAN Zachary 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
149 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
150 CHUNG Connor 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
151 WANG Zhuoyi 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
152 SOWERS Samuel 2% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
153 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 2% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
154 NGO Maximus 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
155 LI Matthew 10% 67% 20% 2% - - -
156 TIAGI George 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
156 WANG HongXi 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
158 HENDERSON Lucas 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
159 CHOW William T. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
160 HO Anson 30% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
161 HOLZ Lucas 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
162 SHIPITSIN Alexander 4% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
162 LIGH Checed 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
164 WONG Lucas 14% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
165 CHEN Richard 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
166 ASPIRAS Piers 84% 15% - - - - -
167 GERSTMANN Max T. 5% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
167 DUDNICK Christian 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
169 NOURELDIN Gabriel 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
170 JONES Elijah 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
171 SAVOY Luca 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
171 REHM Liam 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
173 HO Jacob 15% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
174 FIRSTMAN William B. 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
174 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
176 FANG Eason 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
177 KIM Theodore 11% 41% 35% 11% 1% -
177 MA ziteng 92% 8% - - - -
179 MISHRA Aadi 39% 42% 15% 3% - - -
180 COUNTS Nicholas 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
181 HENDERSON Jack 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
181 KEIPER Benjamin 71% 26% 3% - - - -
181 BARROWS Hunter 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.