Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
2 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
3 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27%
5 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
6 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
7 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
8 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
9 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
10 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
11 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
12 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
13 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
14 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
15 BARRIOS Diego 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
16 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
17 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
18 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
19 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
20 HU Christopher 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
21 REN James 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
22 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
23 FELDMAN Drew 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
24 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
26 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
27 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
28 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
29 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
30 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
31 ROE Finnegan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
32 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
33 LI Howard 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
34 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
35 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
35 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
37 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
38 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
39 OH Triton 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
40 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
41 MATTOO Surya 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
42 BYON Julian 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
43 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
44 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 2%
45 LEE Justin 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
46 VAID Luke 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
46 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
48 FLOT Tai A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
49 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
50 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
51 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
52 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
53 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
54 ZHENG LEON 100% 85% 45% 14% 2% - -
55 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6%
56 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
57 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
58 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
59 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
60 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
61 KANG Evan 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
62 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
63 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
64 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 81% 41% 11% 1%
65 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
66 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
67 SUN George 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
68 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
69 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
70 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
71 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
72 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
73 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
74 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
75 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
76 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
77 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
78 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
79 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
80 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
81 PI Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
82 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
83 ZHEXUAN yu 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
84 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
85 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
86 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
87 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
88 TIAGI Daniel 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
89 WANG Daniel 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
90 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 5%
91 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
92 LIN Maxim 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
93 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
94 RAMANAN Govind 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
94 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
96 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
97 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
97 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 7% 1%
99 PINTO Marcus 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
100 CHEN Jonathan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
101 LUO George F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
101 LIN Steve 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
103 WANG Will 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
104 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
105 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
106 SO Preston 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
107 KATZ Ryan 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
108 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
109 SIMMONS John M. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
110 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 99% 80% 40% 10% 1%
111 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
112 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
113 POFF Kainoa 100% 98% 85% 47% 12% 1%
114 WANG Charles 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
115 YAN Kevin 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
116 BYON Adrian 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
117 LEE Noah 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
118 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
119 CHON Collin 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
120 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
120 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
120 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
123 MATTOO Deven 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
123 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
125 KOGAN Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
126 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
127 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
128 LIN Philip T. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
129 VEDRE Neil 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
130 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
131 BOSITA Carson 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
132 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
133 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
134 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
135 HWANG Jayden 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
136 DEPEW Spencer 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
137 MAY Griffin M. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
137 WANG William 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
139 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
140 ANDRES Michael 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
140 MEI Yujie 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
142 CHAN Aidan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
143 YAN William 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
144 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
145 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% - -
146 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
147 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
148 LUHAN Zachary 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
149 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
150 CHUNG Connor 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
151 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
152 SOWERS Samuel 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
153 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
154 NGO Maximus 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
155 LI Matthew 100% 90% 23% 3% - - -
156 TIAGI George 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
156 WANG HongXi 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
158 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
159 CHOW William T. 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
160 HO Anson 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
161 HOLZ Lucas 100% 75% 32% 8% 1% - -
162 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
162 LIGH Checed 100% 67% 23% 3% - - -
164 WONG Lucas 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
165 CHEN Richard 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
166 ASPIRAS Piers 100% 16% - - - - -
167 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
167 DUDNICK Christian 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
169 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
170 JONES Elijah 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
171 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
171 REHM Liam 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
173 HO Jacob 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% - -
174 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
174 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
176 FANG Eason 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
177 KIM Theodore 100% 89% 48% 12% 1% -
177 MA ziteng 100% 8% - - - -
179 MISHRA Aadi 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
180 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
181 HENDERSON Jack 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
181 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 29% 4% - - - -
181 BARROWS Hunter 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.