April Fenceathon

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 10:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
2 LI Anna 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
3 LI Grayson 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
3 WANG Kyle 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
5 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
6 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
7 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
8 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1% -
9 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 4%
10 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
11 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
12 JU Shang 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
13 LI Allison 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
14 ZHU Owen 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
15 WONG Aaron 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
16 KAYMAN June 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
17 BI Ziyi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
18 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
19 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
20 JIVA Rehan 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
21 THVAR Vikram 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.