Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
2 DING Jiahe (Heidi) - - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
3 FALLON Kyle R. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
3 GU Sarah - - - - 5% 29% 66%
5 YAO Melinda - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
6 SONG Angela - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
7 LEE REGINA - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
8 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
9 WITTER Catherine A. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
10 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
11 CAPELLUA Mariasole - - 3% 17% 41% 33% 5%
12 JAKEL Sophia N. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
13 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
14 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
15 CAFASSO Natalya - 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
16 CHIN Isabella - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
17 MEHROTRA Anya - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
18 LEE Michelle J. - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
19 SPRINGER Sierra - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
20 CHEN Lefu - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
21 ZHANG Victoria R. - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
22 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
23 LEE Scarlett - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
24 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - - 4% 20% 42% 30% 4%
25 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
26 KORFONTA Jolie - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
27 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
28 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
29 JAKEL Alysa C. 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
30 KHARCHYNA Polina - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
31 SOBUS Yanka 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
32 ILYAS Ayah 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
33 YANG Alisa - 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
34 SHIV Avni 2% 20% 42% 30% 5%
35 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 19%
36 KIM Zoe L. - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
37 PRESMAN Aerin 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
38 ZIGALO Elizabeth - 1% 11% 39% 49%
39 NEELAM Navya 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
40 YU Nicole J. - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
41 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
42 PADHYE Tanishka - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
43 HUANG Lanlan 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
44 PECK Maia A. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
44 ZANGA Kaitlyn 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
46 YOU Emily - 3% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
47 BASRALIAN Azniv - 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
48 BRUNSON Nile 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
49 STERR Isabella M. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
50 CAMPBELL Eva 13% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
51 WANG Jessie 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
52 BUSH emma - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
53 BARG Daniella - 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
53 NEMETH Katherine - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
55 ELSTON Sophia 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
56 MARTINEZ Christina 1% 18% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
57 CALDERA Lexi I. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
58 PHUKAN Indra 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
59 HAFEEZ Hania - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
60 BEAVER Ava 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
61 YAO Yilin 1% 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
62 AIRES Julia 26% 49% 21% 4% - - -
63 LIN Ashley 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
64 WATTANAKIT Anda 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
65 CHI Chelsea - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
66 GUO Luxi 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
67 RUNIONS Emersyn - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
68 LAI Amanda 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
69 PROFIS Liora - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
70 RANDLEMAN Teresa 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
71 DUBEAU Alexa 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
72 MUELLER Emma M. - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
73 AZMEH nour 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
74 HAFEEZ Hiba 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
74 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
76 FURMAN Maria 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
77 SHARMA Sanvi 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
78 SMUK Alexandra S. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
79 MARTYNOVA Diana 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
80 YILMAZ Pinar 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
81 SWENSON Nikita G. - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
81 AI Amy 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
83 LIN Elaine - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
84 WANG Zoe 2% 18% 41% 32% 7%
85 NGUYEN Tallulah - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
86 LEE Sumin - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
87 PEHLIVANI Zara - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
87 BEZUGLAYA Varvara - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
89 LEE Natasha - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
90 PRIHODKO Nina 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
91 BEAVER Hannah - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
92 SUN Hanya 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
93 QU ZHUOYING - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
94 ENRILE Erica 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
95 LIU Christina A. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
96 LIANG Jingjing 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
97 LONADIER Keira 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
98 FENG Ge 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
99 DALEY Keira 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
100 XIONG Angelica 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
101 MALLAVARPU saanvi 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
102 MAO Amy - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
103 REID Anousheh - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
104 KIM Jayna 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
105 MOLLINIER Angel 19% 41% 29% 9% 2% - -
106 GUJJA Misha 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
107 LEE Olivia 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
108 POTAPENKO Margarita D. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
109 MUN Brianna K. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
109 CAMAMA Tessa 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
109 SEREGIN Katya 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
112 CHUNG Penelope 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% - -
112 HAUSHEER Kuncen 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
114 WANG Victoria 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
115 FREEMAN Kit 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
116 HSIU Elizabeth 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
117 CANNING Charlotte 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
118 DUONG Zoey 7% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
119 ZHAO Alina 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
121 CHIRASHNYA Mika 52% 38% 9% 1% -
122 SHELIN Chelsea 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
123 CARRIER Meredith 8% 36% 39% 15% 2%
124 GARIKIPATI Thansi 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
125 SCHULTZ Nomi 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
126 CHERNIS Zoe C. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
127 PANT Anisha 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
128 CHA Eugenie 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
129 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
130 WANG Angelina 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
131 CHANG Celine A. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
131 MENDOZA zoie 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
131 HEINRICHS Aaliyah 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
134 DAVIS Elisabeth 79% 20% 1% - - - -
135 GAN Shelby 64% 30% 5% - - - -
136 LI Fei 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
137 LIN Ariel 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
138 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
138 MARTIN Adriana 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
140 LEE Camilla 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
141 HOAGLAND Sally 62% 32% 5% - - - -
142 PINNAMANENI Drithi 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
143 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
143 SCANLAN Claire 6% 44% 38% 11% 1% - -
145 ZAMELIS Madelyn 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
146 LEWIS Rachel 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
147 CHANG Chloe 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.