Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 8:30 AM

The Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 96% 61% 15% 1%
2 AKS Ari 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 19%
3 SCHARDINE James 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
3 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 19%
5 DOUGLAS Rhys 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
6 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 WANG William 100% 99% 86% 50% 12% -
8 WANG Weiyun 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
9 CHAN Aidan Tuan Nho 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
10 SUN Andrew 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
11 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
12 PORTER Dupree 100% 89% 52% 16% 2%
13 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
14 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
15 WAGNER Elijah 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
16 BROCKMEYER Tyler 100% 100% 96% 60% 15% 1%
17 GOEDDEKE Brendan 100% 75% 13% 1% - -
18 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 100% 92% 56% 7%
19 RAMANI Ari 100% 30% 3% - - -
20 HAN Edward 100% 100% 97% 82% 41% 3%
21 WANG Max 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
22 TURNER Benjamin 100% 94% 54% 12% 1% -
23 GUZIEC Robert 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
24 HILL Quillan 100% 97% 75% 34% 6% -
25 BIALIK Noah 100% 96% 62% 17% 2% -
26 PERRY Gwydion 100% 70% 26% 5% -
27 KAUFFMAN Alex 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
28 DEGA Brandon 100% 35% 2% - - -
29 ZHU Matthew 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.