Mission SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
3 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
5 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
6 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
7 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
8 GONG Hai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
9 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
10 LI Savannah 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
11 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35% 3%
12 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 38%
13 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
14 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 3%
15 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
16 SHIN SE EUN 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
17 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 2%
18 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
19 CAO Amelie 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
20 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 5%
20 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
22 DOUGLAS Addison 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
23 CHOI Cara 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
24 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
25 BYK Karalina 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
26 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
27 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
28 NWODO Naila 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
29 BO Iris 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
30 ZHU Alivia 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
31 CASCONE Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
32 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
33 SHTEPA Sofia 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% - -
34 KOU Elisha 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
35 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% - -
36 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 93% 69% 36% 11% 2% -
37 FENG Claire 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2% -
38 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
39 CHUNG Stella 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
40 KENNEDY Izadora 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
41 FEDER Acadia 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
42 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% - -
43 BENNETT Emi 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
44 KIRBY Emelie 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% - -
45 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
46 ZHANG Selina 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
47 WU Charlotte 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
48 XING Melly 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
49 DINAR Julia 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
50 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
51 REILLY Carys 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
52 JOO Sara 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
53 LI Doreen 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
54 LI Christina 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
55 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
56 LUO lucy 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
57 CHAN Jolene 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
58 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
59 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
60 DONG Katelyn 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
61 LIANG Jasmine 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
62 STUART Skylar 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.