Mission SYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	WU Michelle	-	-	-	2%	12%	39%	47%
2	ADYANTHAYA Anika	-	-	1%	6%	22%	42%	29%
3	BOROTKO Katerina	-	-	3%	15%	40%	42%
3	DHAIYA Tanya	-	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	20%
5	LI Alice	-	-	-	1%	10%	38%	50%
6	VOSKOV Olivia	-	-	3%	15%	33%	35%	14%
7	YAO Chloe	-	-	4%	16%	35%	34%	11%
8	NING Miranda	1%	7%	23%	35%	25%	8%	1%
9	ZHANG Jane	-	1%	4%	19%	37%	32%	7%
10	WANG Cecilia	-	-	5%	22%	45%	28%
11	YU Livia	-	1%	7%	26%	40%	22%	3%
12	VIJAY Vaishnavi	-	-	3%	16%	38%	35%	8%
13	MOKRETSOV Leah	1%	6%	21%	35%	27%	9%	1%
14	FAN Joy	3%	15%	33%	33%	14%	2%
15	XU Mulan	14%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-
16	CHEN Madeline	2%	14%	36%	34%	12%	1%
17	CHEN Alina	-	1%	5%	25%	45%	24%
18	CHAKRAPANI Tara	2%	15%	37%	32%	12%	2%	-
19	LEE Eden	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	17%	2%
20	ALLIEVI Simone	3%	17%	37%	32%	11%	1%
21	LI Nicole	-	5%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
22	CHOU Andrea	1%	6%	22%	35%	27%	9%	1%
23	FURMAN Elizabeth	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%
24	GRIGORYAN Amaliya	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
25	KOUAME Candice	20%	42%	29%	8%	1%	-
26	HAN Emma	10%	31%	36%	18%	4%	-	-
27	CHEN Allison	24%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
28	JU Jennifer	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	3%	-
29	NAPOLI Eleanor	10%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-	-
30	ADEN Aurora	28%	43%	23%	5%	1%	-	-
31	CHEN Laila	2%	13%	31%	35%	17%	3%
32	ZHANG Audrey	14%	37%	33%	14%	3%	-	-
33	RAJPUT Mahek	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	4%	-
34	VILLER Alice	1%	10%	31%	37%	18%	3%	-
35	WILLIAMSON Aria	17%	37%	31%	12%	3%	-	-
36	FAYLAYEV Sofia	11%	32%	35%	18%	4%	-	-
37	JIANG chenxi	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
38	CHEN Reina	19%	43%	29%	8%	1%	-	-
39	HALL Sophie	26%	44%	24%	5%	-	-
40	CHO Josephine	12%	33%	34%	16%	4%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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