Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 11:30 AM

The Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
2 DOUGLAS Rhys 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% < 1%
5 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
6 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
7 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
8 TAN Xinlai 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
9 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
10 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
11 DORE Davis 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
12 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
13 SUN Ryan 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
14 STREB Joseph S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
15 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
16 ORONOWICZ Jakub 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
17 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
18 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 97% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
19 ATKINSON JOSIAH 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
20 LIU Yinhong 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
21 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
22 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
23 BAI Brian 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
24 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 3% -
25 RYAN Connor Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
26 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 10%
27 GLEBA Nico 100% 97% 64% 24% 4% - -
28 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
29 ZHAO Bowen 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 8% 1%
30 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
31 KAIHATSU Edward J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
32 FINDLER Zachary 100% 23% 2% - - - -
33 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
34 GLOVER George 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
35 FECHTMEYER Theodore 100% 91% 49% 13% 2% - -
36 BALES Gabriel 100% 37% 5% - - - -
37 IRVINE Brody 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
38 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
38 MICK Gabriel 100% 38% 6% - - - -
40 HUGHES Evan 100% 22% 2% - - - -
41 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
41 STANTON Richard 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.