Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. - - - - 1% 19% 80%
2 YANG Adam - - - 6% 41% 53%
3 CANNON Caiden C. - - - 4% 38% 58%
3 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
5 HE Xiangrui - - 4% 30% 53% 13%
6 CHENG Ethan 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
7 GUPTA Varun - - 3% 17% 40% 36% 4%
8 NUNNINK Phillip W. - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
9 KATAYAMA Kevin - - - 3% 29% 68%
10 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 2% 15% 46% 37%
11 LI Arvin - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
12 SIMA Congyu Josh - - 4% 23% 48% 25%
13 XU Andy P. - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
14 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 1% 11% 37% 42% 10%
15 WANG Rory - 4% 25% 45% 24% 3%
16 MIALL Steven A. - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
17 LIU Derek - 1% 11% 41% 37% 9%
18 LI Aaron - 1% 10% 30% 40% 17% 1%
19 TAN Aidan - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
19 WANG Winston - - 7% 34% 45% 15%
21 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 1% 7% 31% 43% 18%
22 SHAO Eric 2% 16% 44% 34% 5% -
23 LEE Jonah - - 5% 26% 44% 24%
24 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 2% 16% 55% 28%
25 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 1% 16% 57% 26%
26 BING Charles - - - 6% 34% 59%
27 YAO Bradley - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
28 JIANG Owen - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
29 FENG Michael 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
30 LIGH Thomas 9% 30% 36% 20% 4% -
31 KONG Luculentus X. 2% 17% 52% 27% 4% -
32 WANG Brian 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
33 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 22% 44% 28% 6% < 1% -
34 DAVIDSON Elliot - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
35 DJONOUMA Toyohm 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
36 MILLER Aidan A. - 5% 24% 38% 26% 7%
37 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 12% 37% 37% 13% 1% -
38 ZHEN Ethan - 2% 22% 51% 22% 2%
39 ZHONG Maxwell 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
40 TIBBETTS Justin 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
41 LUM-DEBONO Alex - 6% 30% 43% 19% 2%
42 MILLER Andrew - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
43 LI Allen 18% 42% 31% 8% - -
44 ROZALSKI Eli 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
45 ARCE Andrew W. 2% 20% 44% 27% 6% -
46 ZHAO Brandon 15% 47% 31% 7% 1% -
47 LI Ayren 2% 27% 40% 24% 6% 1%
48 LAO Kevin 27% 46% 23% 4% - -
48 SONG Noel 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
50 VO Jonathan 47% 42% 10% 1% - -
51 LYNCH Owen C. 1% 12% 41% 35% 9% 1%
52 YANG Dylan 20% 43% 30% 7% - -
53 WOHLERS Trevor 23% 46% 27% 4% - -
54 SURESH Rohan 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
55 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
56 XU Ethan 1% 13% 42% 38% 6% -
57 BAKSHI Aman 24% 46% 26% 4% - -
58 CENCE Myles K. 21% 49% 25% 4% - -
59 FINLEY Dylan 2% 15% 39% 37% 7% -
60 TJON Calum 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
61 SHAMBARGER Graham 53% 39% 8% 1% - -
62 CHREKY Jacob D. 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
63 GE Daniel 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% -
64 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
65 ZHAO Brian 16% 54% 26% 4% - -
66 SENANI Arjun 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
67 STAFFORD Gareth 40% 48% 11% 1% - -
68 FORTES PINA Adrian 59% 35% 6% - - -
69 MILLER Dillon 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
70 TANG Terry 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
71 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 14% 41% 36% 8% 1% -
71 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 37% 50% 12% 1% - -
73 BERETICH Brian 84% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.