Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 53%
3 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 58%
3 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 100% 96% 66% 13%
6 CHENG Ethan 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
7 GUPTA Varun 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39% 4%
8 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
9 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
10 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
11 LI Arvin 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
12 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
13 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
14 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 10%
15 WANG Rory 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 3%
16 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
17 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 9%
18 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
19 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
19 WANG Winston 100% 100% 99% 93% 59% 15%
21 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
22 SHAO Eric 100% 98% 83% 39% 5% -
23 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
24 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 28%
25 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 26%
26 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
27 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
28 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
29 FENG Michael 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
30 LIGH Thomas 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
31 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 98% 82% 30% 4% -
32 WANG Brian 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
33 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 78% 34% 6% < 1% -
34 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
35 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
36 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
37 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 88% 51% 14% 1% -
38 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 75% 24% 2%
39 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
40 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
41 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 94% 64% 21% 2%
42 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9%
43 LI Allen 100% 82% 40% 8% - -
44 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% -
45 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
46 ZHAO Brandon 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% -
47 LI Ayren 100% 98% 71% 31% 7% 1%
48 LAO Kevin 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
48 SONG Noel 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
50 VO Jonathan 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
51 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 99% 87% 46% 10% 1%
52 YANG Dylan 100% 80% 38% 8% - -
53 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
54 SURESH Rohan 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
55 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
56 XU Ethan 100% 99% 86% 44% 7% -
57 BAKSHI Aman 100% 76% 30% 4% - -
58 CENCE Myles K. 100% 79% 30% 4% - -
59 FINLEY Dylan 100% 98% 83% 45% 8% -
60 TJON Calum 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
61 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
62 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
63 GE Daniel 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% -
64 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% - -
65 ZHAO Brian 100% 84% 30% 4% - -
66 SENANI Arjun 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
67 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 60% 12% 1% - -
68 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 41% 6% - - -
69 MILLER Dillon 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
70 TANG Terry 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
71 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 100% 86% 45% 9% 1% -
71 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 63% 12% 1% - -
73 BERETICH Brian 100% 16% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.