Mission SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 BADMUS Joshua - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
3 WEI Rian - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 DAI Zihou - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
5 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
6 PERRIN Leo - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
7 KOZLOV Lucas - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
8 SLAVNOV Anton - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
9 HU Jayden - 1% 4% 17% 33% 32% 12%
10 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
11 AVERY Marcus - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
12 SO Morgan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
13 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
14 LIN Brendan - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
15 SHAPIRO Leo - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
16 KOREN George - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
17 LUCAS William - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
18 LEE Blake - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
19 CHANG Timothy - 4% 24% 43% 25% 4%
20 CHAVAN Aditya - 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
21 LIU Jayden 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
22 ORIE Sohan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
23 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 4% 15% 31% 35% 15%
24 TAKEBE Ren - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
25 WU Vincent - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
26 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
27 MIAO Heqi - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
28 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11%
29 MHLEY Gavin - 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
30 SONG Aidan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
31 EARLEY Jack 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
32 TAYCHER Aaron 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
33 KOREN David 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
34 BROOKS Isaac 14% 46% 30% 8% 1% - -
35 BENNETT Lachlan 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
36 TITOV Zachary 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
37 SUBA Mason - 1% 10% 35% 41% 13%
38 YAO John 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
39 CHAN Ewan 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
40 BROOKS Theo 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
41 HOWARTH Hayes 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
42 LEVY Daniel 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
42 BROOKS Drake 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
44 LEIGH Brayden 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
45 LIUZHANG Ben 3% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
45 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
47 BURENKOV Matthew 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
48 HAHN EVER 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
49 WAXLER Alex 1% 14% 41% 33% 9% 1%
50 CHANG Ethan 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
51 BADMUS David 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
52 HE Nolan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
53 ALUF Brendon 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 4% -
54 BRADY Jack 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
55 LIANG Morgan 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
56 HAGN Maximilian 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
57 LEE Aiden 20% 50% 25% 5% - -
58 BEAL Colton - < 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 9%
59 GAO Francis 32% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
60 O'KEEFE Brody 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
61 GILBERT Ari 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
62 PATEL Rohan 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
63 FIROOZI Alex 68% 28% 4% - - - -
64 DATTILIO Aidan 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
65 MALEK Zak - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
66 MELE Gianni 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
67 DANIELS William 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
67 ZHANG Howard 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
69 JACOBS Eitan 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
70 FOUX Jonathan 1% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
71 BLAIR Campbell - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
72 WANG Harrison 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
73 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 51% 40% 8% 1% - -
74 CHEN Kevin 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
75 LAWLOR Ryan 51% 38% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.