Mission SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
2 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
3 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
5 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
6 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
7 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
8 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 49% 15%
9 HU Jayden 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
10 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
11 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
12 SO Morgan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
13 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
14 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
15 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
16 KOREN George 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
17 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
18 LEE Blake 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
19 CHANG Timothy 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 4%
20 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
21 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
22 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
23 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
24 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
25 WU Vincent 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 28% 5%
26 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
27 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
28 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
29 MHLEY Gavin 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
30 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
31 EARLEY Jack 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
32 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
33 KOREN David 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
34 BROOKS Isaac 100% 86% 39% 9% 1% - -
35 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
36 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
37 SUBA Mason 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
38 YAO John 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
39 CHAN Ewan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
40 BROOKS Theo 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
41 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
42 LEVY Daniel 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
42 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
44 LEIGH Brayden 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
45 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 97% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
45 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
47 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
48 HAHN EVER 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
49 WAXLER Alex 100% 99% 85% 43% 10% 1%
50 CHANG Ethan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
51 BADMUS David 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
52 HE Nolan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
53 ALUF Brendon 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
54 BRADY Jack 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
55 LIANG Morgan 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
56 HAGN Maximilian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
57 LEE Aiden 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
58 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
59 GAO Francis 100% 68% 28% 7% 1% - -
60 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 95% 70% 34% 10% 2% -
61 GILBERT Ari 100% 63% 23% 5% 1% - -
62 PATEL Rohan 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
63 FIROOZI Alex 100% 32% 4% - - - -
64 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
65 MALEK Zak 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
66 MELE Gianni 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
67 DANIELS William 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
67 ZHANG Howard 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
69 JACOBS Eitan 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
70 FOUX Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
71 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
72 WANG Harrison 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
73 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
74 CHEN Kevin 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
75 LAWLOR Ryan 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.