Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KUGLER Luke | D V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 2 | NORMILE Nicholas | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | TSE Maxwell | D V V D V | V V V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 3 | LIU Adam | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 5 | TRAN Spencer | V V D V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 6 | BAJAJ Nakul | V V V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | SUN Lucas | V V D V V D | V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 8 | DODIN Daniel M. | D D V D V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 9 | XIA Dashan | V V V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 10 | AHMED Mohsen | V V V D V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 11 | MIDYANY Evan | V V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 12 | SOLARZ Arthur | V V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 13 | KIM Henry | D V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 14 | SONG Aidan | D V D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 15 | SINGLETON Aman | V D V V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 16 | WANG-SONG Evan | D D V V D V | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 17 | KATS Brandon | V D V V V | D | 1.0 | 4 | +3.0 |
| 18 | ZHAI Junqi | V V V V D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 19 | KARIMOV Amir | V V D V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 20 | MIDYANY Ryan | V V D V D V | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 21 | CAFASSO Alexander | D V V D V V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 22 | O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar | V V D D V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 23 | KIM Tae | V D V V D V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 24 | SZCZAPA Lukas | V D V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 25 | YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki | V V D D D V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 26 | ZHENG Jason | D D D V D V | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 27 | LI Jade | D V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 28 | LUO Alexander | D D D D V | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 29 | KHERSONSKY Robert | D D D V D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | CHEN Edward | D D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 31 | ARMSTRONG Payson | D D D V D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 32 | ROBINSON Garrett | D D D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 33 | NG Nico | V V V V D D | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 34 | GIMBRERE Alexandre | V D V V D | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 35 | FRIZZELL Kai | D D V D V | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 36 | YAO Ryan | V V D D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 37 | DANILOV Artur | D D D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 38 | GRIGORENKO Gleb E. | D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 39 | YAO Aiden | V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 40 | FENG Xinmin | D V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 41 | POWELL Horatio | V D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 42 | WU Matthew | D D D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 43 | ZHANG Shuhao | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 44 | WITHERELL Logan | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 45 | YAKHNIS Seth | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 46 | CHEN Daniel | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.