2024 BFC Youth Series 4

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
2 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
3 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
3 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
5 TIAN Victoria 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
6 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
7 FAUCHER James 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
8 MA Brendon 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
9 MAO Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
10 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% -
11 XU Mulan 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
12 REDWINE Louise 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
13 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
14 YOUN Emily 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
15 ROFINO Samuel 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
16 TAXIARCHOS Alexander 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
17 BOYLE Bridget 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
18 DING Iris 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
19 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
20 ARMEY Alexander 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
21 CIANCHETTA David 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
22 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
23 CHEN Yudian 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
24 SHI Evan 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% - -
25 RICK Dylan 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1% -
26 YOON Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
27 MURTALA Aisha 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
28 SPRINGER Lily 100% 94% 63% 20% 1% -
29 LI Jayden 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
30 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 78% 32% 5% - - -
31 DEVANATHAN Mukund 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
32 VIGODA Max 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
33 MOODY Liam 100% 89% 38% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.