Sanctioned - MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Senior (unrated only) - All foil event

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Joey 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 28%
2 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
3 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 99% 80% 34% 4%
3 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
5 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
6 BHARDWAJ Ranbir 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
7 SRIDHARA Shaan 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
8 HE Gary 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
9 ARYA Leela 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 21% 3%
10 YU Jinyuan 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
11 FISCHER Grant 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
12 DING Sam 100% 100% 99% 90% 51% 11%
13 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
14 KIM Parker 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% -
15 YU Xintong 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
16 KAJITA Grayson 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
17 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 99% 84% 44% 10%
18 LI Lief 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
19 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 22%
20 YUEN Landon 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
21 ZHAN Catherine 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
22 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
23 WARBURTON Eleanor 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
24 SHAO Tysen 100% 92% 59% 16% 2% -
25 GOLDSTEIN Benjamin 100% 94% 65% 24% 3% -
25 SMOLIN Theo 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
27 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
28 DURBIN Libby 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1%
29 WANG Andrew 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1%
30 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
31 DONG Nancy 100% 73% 24% 4% - -
32 HONDA Emi 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
33 VASANTH Arjun 100% 58% 7% - - -
34 YAN Aaron 100% 78% 31% 5% - -
35 ALNAGGAR Ali 100% 66% 20% 2% - -
36 CHEUNG Carabelle 100% 59% 11% 1% - -
37 KO Cameron 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.