Firefly Fencing Open

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PRICE Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
2 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
3 SPEAR Will 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 3%
5 MANDEL Adam J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
6 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
7 POPE Nico 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 6%
8 BARBER Brendan 100% 100% 97% 76% 26% 2%
9 AUSTIN Adam 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
10 GORTON George F. 100% 99% 76% 36% 9% 1%
11 CUCINELLI Brian P. 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% 1%
12 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
13 XU Luke 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
14 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 82% 36% 5% - -
15 MEHTA Nalin J. 100% 76% 26% 2% - -
16 BYRNES Luke 100% 39% 6% - - -
17 TIBBETTS Noah 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
18 CASSIDY Thomas 100% 68% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.