Event Results
Manhattan Fencing Center Saber Liberty CupSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ISAYENKO Daniel | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 2 | BEAL Colton | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | ARCHIBALD Zachary | V D V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 3 | NEMORIN Rei | V V V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 5 | CHAN Ewan | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 6 | WONG Reagan | V D V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 7 | STOLCKE Saskia | V D D D V | V V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 8 | SHAH Sara | D D V D D | V V V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 9 | JOHN Sophia | V V V V D V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | OSMINKINA-JONES Kai | V V D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 11 | SUH Leo | D V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 12 | DOROBANTU Emma | V V V V D | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 13 | ALUF William | D V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 14 | ALUF Brendon | V V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 15 | BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso | D D V V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 16 | ZHANG Howard | D D V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 17 | WEI Hunter | V V V V V V | D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 18 | JOSEPH Azalée | V V D V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 19 | TANJGA Luka | D V D V V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 20 | CHEN Kevin | V V D D V | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 21 | LIANG Morgan | V D D V V D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 22 | MITCHELL Lorne | V D V D V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 23 | FIROOZI Alex | V D D V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 24 | SUH Jordan | D D V D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 25 | BELANI Rahul | D V V D D | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 26 | TERENTIEV Michael | V D V D D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 27 | STOLCKE Julian | D V V D D D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 28 | LIM JUWANA Maximilian | D V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 29 | CHO Aston JaeHee | V D D D D V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 30 | SPIELMAN Ren | V D D D V D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 31 | CONNOLLY Edward Bud | D D D D D V | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 32 | ZHANG Mark | D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 33 | LI Sebastian | D D D V D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 34 | SITU Adam | D V D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 35 | WIJE Mahamaya | D D V D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 36 | VINCENT Yijia | D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| 37 | ZHANG Benjamin | D D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 38 | CHOI Ethan | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 39 | NEVELING Felicitas | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |