2024 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, June 8, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 KAO Castor T. - - - 12% 88%
2 LI Arvin - - 5% 41% 54%
3 XU Ethan - 1% 11% 54% 34%
3 LI Bradley - 1% 15% 52% 32%
5 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 1% 16% 84%
6 SHAO Eric - 5% 26% 44% 25%
7 DAVIDSON Elliot - 1% 9% 46% 45%
8 LI Aaron - 1% 12% 40% 47%
9 LIU Derek - 1% 13% 56% 30%
10 FENG Michael - 4% 27% 60% 8%
11 CHENG Ethan - - 6% 44% 50%
12 YANG Dylan 2% 17% 42% 33% 7%
13 WANG Mason - 4% 28% 61% 6%
14 CHENG Logan 1% 11% 36% 38% 13%
15 SENANI Arjun 4% 32% 52% 11% 1%
16 JIMENEZ Naveen 8% 37% 45% 10% -
17 LI Ayren 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
18 ZHAO Brian 10% 45% 37% 7% -
19 LAO Kevin 13% 45% 36% 6% -
20 STAFFORD Gareth 8% 39% 45% 7% -
21 KROLEWSKI Alexander 17% 49% 30% 3% -
22 BALDWIN Benjamin 7% 37% 40% 15% 2%
23 SURESH Rohan 2% 17% 41% 33% 7%
24 ZHAO Brandon 16% 45% 31% 8% 1%
25 RIPA Joseph K. 31% 48% 19% 2% -
26 SABATINO Patrick 60% 33% 6% - -
27 MCENTEE Owen 60% 35% 5% - -
28 XU Brian 59% 35% 6% - -
29 CHUN Zachary 48% 42% 10% - -
30 FORTES PINA Adrian 16% 52% 28% 3% -
31 BISHOP Henry 6% 37% 45% 11% 1%
32 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 45% 42% 12% 1% -
33 BERETICH Brian 51% 40% 9% - -
34 ZHENG Harrison 9% 41% 42% 8% -
35 DENG Kenny 30% 48% 20% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.