2024 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 3%
3 WANG Mason 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 4%
5 GE Daniel 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
6 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
7 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
8 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
9 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 22%
10 LI Ayren 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
11 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
12 FENG Michael 100% 100% 96% 70% 24% 1%
13 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
14 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
15 SENANI Arjun 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
16 LAO Kevin 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
17 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
18 ZHAO Brian 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
19 ZHAO Brandon 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
20 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
21 DENG Kenny 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
22 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
23 VO Jonathan 100% 74% 24% 3% - -
24 BISHOP Henry 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
25 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 58% 11% 1% - -
26 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
27 SABATINO Patrick 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
28 LIGH Thomas 100% 100% 96% 70% 28% 4%
29 WERWA Griffith 100% 99% 84% 40% 8% -
30 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
31 ZHENG Harrison 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
32 SURESH Rohan 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
33 LIGH Jack 100% 98% 80% 43% 11% 1%
33 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 69% 18% 2% - -
35 WALLACE John 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
36 WENGER Caleb 100% 55% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.