The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Senior Men's Foil

2024 Bay State GamesPool Heatmap

Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 1:00 PM Boston Fencing Club · Boston, MA, USA
36 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 3%
3 WANG Mason 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 4%
5 GE Daniel 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
6 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
7 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
8 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
9 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 22%
10 LI Ayren 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
11 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
12 FENG Michael 100% 100% 96% 70% 24% 1%
13 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
14 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
15 SENANI Arjun 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
16 LAO Kevin 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
17 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
18 ZHAO Brian 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
19 ZHAO Brandon 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
20 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
21 DENG Kenny 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
22 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 1%
23 VO Jonathan 100% 74% 24% 3% - -
24 BISHOP Henry 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
25 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 57% 11% 1% - -
26 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
27 SABATINO Patrick 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
28 LIGH Thomas 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 4%
29 WERWA Griffith 100% 99% 84% 40% 8% -
30 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
31 ZHENG Harrison 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
32 SURESH Rohan 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
33 LIGH Jack 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
33 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 69% 18% 2% - -
35 WALLACE John 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
36 WENGER Caleb 100% 55% 11% 1% - -