2024 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KAO Castor T. - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 JIANG Owen - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 SHAO Eric - 4% 22% 45% 26% 3%
3 WANG Mason - 2% 14% 42% 38% 4%
5 GE Daniel 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
6 LI Arvin - - - 5% 30% 65%
7 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - - 2% 22% 75%
8 CHENG Ethan - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
9 WANG Rory - - 5% 24% 49% 22%
10 LI Ayren - 5% 29% 41% 21% 3%
11 DAVIDSON Elliot - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
12 FENG Michael - 4% 26% 46% 23% 1%
13 STAFFORD Gareth 24% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
14 LIU Derek - - 1% 10% 43% 46%
15 SENANI Arjun 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
16 LAO Kevin 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
17 ZHANG GAVIN J 6% 28% 40% 22% 3% -
18 ZHAO Brian 3% 20% 40% 30% 7% -
19 ZHAO Brandon 3% 20% 40% 29% 6% -
20 YANG Dylan 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
21 DENG Kenny 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
22 DJONOUMA Toyohm 2% 13% 34% 36% 15% 1%
23 VO Jonathan 26% 50% 21% 3% - -
24 BISHOP Henry 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
25 KROLEWSKI Alexander 42% 46% 10% 1% - -
26 FORTES PINA Adrian 15% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
27 SABATINO Patrick 49% 38% 11% 2% - -
28 LIGH Thomas - 4% 26% 41% 24% 4%
29 WERWA Griffith 1% 14% 44% 33% 7% -
30 SHAMBARGER Graham 30% 44% 22% 4% - -
31 ZHENG Harrison 5% 26% 41% 23% 4% -
32 SURESH Rohan 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
33 LIGH Jack 2% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
33 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 31% 50% 16% 2% - -
35 WALLACE John 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
36 WENGER Caleb 45% 44% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.