Fairfax Challenge Winter RYC & RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 10:30 AM

Owings Mills, MD - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
2 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 8%
3 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
5 MCALLISTER thomas 100% 59% 18% 3% - < 1%
6 ZHANG Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
7 KOKES William 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 24%
8 ZHAO Adam 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
9 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
10 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
11 SHAW Spencer 100% 98% 78% 32% 6% -
12 LEUNG Arthur 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
13 KOE Beckett 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
14 KARPESHOV Maddox 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
15 YU William 100% 49% 7% - - -
16 LEUNG Hugh 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
17 JIN Andy 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% -
18 ALEXANDER John 100% 80% 32% 5% - -
19 PENTON Ivan 100% 97% 75% 32% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.