National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
2 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
3 LIN Jessica Y. - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
3 HU Grace - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 11%
5 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
6 KHARCHYNA Polina - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
7 WATRALL Christina - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
8 SPRINGER Sierra - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
9 WASHINGTON Isis - - - - 3% 23% 73%
10 QI Jarynne Valerie 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
11 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
12 GANDHI Sedna S. - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
13 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
14 JAKEL Sophia N. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
15 BEZUGLAYA Varvara - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
16 LEE Natasha 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
17 WANG Karen - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
18 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
19 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - - 1% 16% 82%
20 YU Nicole J. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
21 LEE Sumin - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
22 EDWARDS Auprell 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
23 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
24 LUO Ashley - - 2% 10% 32% 42% 15%
25 ZHANG Victoria R. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
26 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
27 LEE REGINA - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
28 KIM Zoe L. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
29 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
30 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - 1% 8% 25% 39% 25% 3%
31 CAFASSO Natalya - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
31 ELSTON Sophia 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
33 CHIN Isabella - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
34 JOYCE Michaela - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
34 LEE Michelle J. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
36 TOBY Natalia R. - - - 3% 14% 39% 43%
37 YANG Alisa 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
38 DESAI Meera P. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
39 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
40 AI Amy 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
41 NEMETH Katherine 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
41 YOU Emily - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
43 LAN Alice S. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
44 SOBUS Yanka 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
45 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
46 GEVA Eliana 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
47 GU Sarah - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
48 DING Jiahe (Heidi) - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
49 CALDERA Lexi I. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
50 IYER Ishana 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
51 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
52 WITTER Catherine A. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 2%
53 MEHROTRA Anya - 2% 18% 40% 31% 8%
54 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
55 HAMILTON Pauline S. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
55 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
57 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
58 PEHLIVANI Zara 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
59 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - 3% 13% 32% 38% 15%
60 POHREBNA Yeva 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
61 AZMEH nour 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
62 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
63 PROKOP Jeannine A. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
64 ZHOU Wenjun 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
65 FALLON Kyle R. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
66 PADHYE Tanishka - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
67 KORFONTA Jolie - 3% 15% 36% 37% 10%
68 LI Fei 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
69 HAFEEZ Hania 1% 13% 39% 34% 11% 1%
70 KUNJAN Lena R. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
71 LIU Nicole 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
72 SHIV Avni - 4% 16% 31% 31% 14% 2%
73 PRESMAN Aerin 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
74 REID Anousheh 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
75 MAO Amy - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
76 CARRIER Meredith 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
77 LEE yat ching 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
78 SMUK Alexandra S. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
79 SEMIKIN Julia 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
80 MUN Brianna K. 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
81 LEE Olivia 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
82 CHI Chelsea 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
83 ZANGA Kaitlyn 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
84 BARG Daniella 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
85 WATTANAKIT Anda 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
86 HONG Elaine - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 1%
87 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
88 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
89 YILMAZ Pinar 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
90 LEE Claire 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
91 GUJJA Misha 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
92 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
93 CHEN Lefu - 2% 12% 28% 35% 20% 3%
94 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
95 RANDLEMAN Teresa 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
96 SONG Angela 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
97 PECK Maia A. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
98 FRENCH Phaelen 29% 49% 19% 3% - -
99 XIONG Angelica 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
100 LEE Scarlett 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
101 SUN Zeyu 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
102 GUO Luxi 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
103 HEPLER Sarah 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
103 CHERNIS Zoe C. 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
105 POLANICHKA Nicole 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
106 DALEY Keira 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
107 GORNOVSKY Abigail 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
108 CAPELLUA Mariasole 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
109 SEREGIN Katya 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
110 BRUNSON Nile 9% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
111 ANDERSON Claire 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
112 NGUYEN Tallulah - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
113 CAMPBELL Eva 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
114 BUSH emma 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
114 NGUYEN Audrey 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
116 BECKMAN Ana 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
117 YAO Melinda 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
117 LAI Amanda 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
119 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
120 FENG Ge - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
121 WANG Elizabeth - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
122 LIN Ashley 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
123 WONG Alexandra R. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
124 SHU Youshan 5% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
125 LI Judy 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
126 KIM Daeun 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1% -
127 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
127 ZUHARS Renee A. - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
129 BASRALIAN Azniv 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
130 KUZNETSOV Victoria - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
131 HAFEEZ Hiba 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
132 ILYAS Ayah 38% 47% 14% 2% - -
133 SMUK Daria A. 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
134 PULLEN Ayah 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
135 LIU Baihan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
136 GUERRERO Victoria 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
137 WANG Zoe 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
138 QI Julieanne 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
139 SWENSON Nikita G. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
140 KUMAR Anusha 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
141 YAO Yilin 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
141 XIAO Nancy 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
143 WANG Angelina 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
144 ZHU Serene M. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
145 JIN Zhengtian 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
146 RUNIONS Emersyn 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
147 LIANG Jingjing 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
148 PHUKAN Indra 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
149 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
150 YOUNG VIVIAN 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
150 LIN Elaine 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
152 CANNING Charlotte 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
153 PINNAMANENI Drithi 32% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
154 KIM Jayna 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
155 SAYAGUES Isabella 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.