National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
3 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
3 HU Grace 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 11%
5 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
7 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
8 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
9 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
11 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
12 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
13 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
14 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
15 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
16 LEE Natasha 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
17 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
18 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
19 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
20 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
21 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
22 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
23 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
24 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
25 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
26 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
27 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
28 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
29 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
30 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 28% 3%
31 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
31 ELSTON Sophia 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
33 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
34 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
34 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
36 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
37 YANG Alisa 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
38 DESAI Meera P. 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
39 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
40 AI Amy 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% -
41 NEMETH Katherine 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
41 YOU Emily 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
43 LAN Alice S. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
44 SOBUS Yanka 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
45 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
46 GEVA Eliana 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
47 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
48 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
49 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
50 IYER Ishana 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
51 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 8% -
52 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
53 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 8%
54 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
55 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 100% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
55 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 14% 1%
57 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
58 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
59 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
60 POHREBNA Yeva 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10% 1%
61 AZMEH nour 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
62 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
63 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
64 ZHOU Wenjun 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
65 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
66 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
67 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
68 LI Fei 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
69 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 1%
70 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
71 LIU Nicole 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
72 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
73 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
74 REID Anousheh 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
75 MAO Amy 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
76 CARRIER Meredith 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
77 LEE yat ching 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
78 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
79 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
80 MUN Brianna K. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
81 LEE Olivia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
82 CHI Chelsea 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
83 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
84 BARG Daniella 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
85 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
86 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
87 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
88 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
89 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
90 LEE Claire 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
91 GUJJA Misha 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
92 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
93 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 3%
94 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
95 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
96 SONG Angela 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
97 PECK Maia A. 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
98 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 71% 22% 3% - -
99 XIONG Angelica 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
100 LEE Scarlett 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
101 SUN Zeyu 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
102 GUO Luxi 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
103 HEPLER Sarah 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
103 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
105 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
106 DALEY Keira 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
107 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
108 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
109 SEREGIN Katya 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
110 BRUNSON Nile 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
111 ANDERSON Claire 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
112 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
113 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
114 BUSH emma 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
114 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
116 BECKMAN Ana 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
117 YAO Melinda 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
117 LAI Amanda 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
119 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
120 FENG Ge 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
121 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
122 LIN Ashley 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
123 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
124 SHU Youshan 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
125 LI Judy 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
126 KIM Daeun 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
127 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
127 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
129 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
130 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
131 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
132 ILYAS Ayah 100% 62% 15% 2% - -
133 SMUK Daria A. 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
134 PULLEN Ayah 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
135 LIU Baihan 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
136 GUERRERO Victoria 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
137 WANG Zoe 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
138 QI Julieanne 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
139 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
140 KUMAR Anusha 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
141 YAO Yilin 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
141 XIAO Nancy 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
143 WANG Angelina 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
144 ZHU Serene M. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
145 JIN Zhengtian 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
146 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
147 LIANG Jingjing 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
148 PHUKAN Indra 100% 87% 55% 21% 4% - -
149 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
150 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
150 LIN Elaine 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
152 CANNING Charlotte 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
153 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
154 KIM Jayna 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
155 SAYAGUES Isabella 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.