National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 MORRILL William - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
3 JI Cody Walter - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
3 WU Roger (Mengke) - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
5 LILOV Neil - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
6 WANG Robert - - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20%
7 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
8 MAKLIN Edward P. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
9 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
10 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
11 ANDREEV Ilia - - - - 2% 20% 78%
12 KIM Shaun M. - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
13 KOGAN Ben - 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
14 WANG Nicolas - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 5%
15 FENG Leo - 2% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
16 ROBERTS Sam - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
17 CHEONG Heonjun - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 4%
18 CHTERENTAL Alex - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
18 ZENG Noah 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
20 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
21 HOLZ Daniel - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
22 BERGER Oliver - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
23 DHINGRA Gian K. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
24 MICLAUS Justin - 3% 15% 38% 37% 7%
25 BARNETT Adam - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
26 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
27 QIU Nathan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
28 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
29 LEE Justin - - 4% 18% 39% 34% 4%
30 LIM William J. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
31 PATIL Aaryan A. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
32 LIN Nick 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
33 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
34 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
35 NOBLE Colin - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 3%
36 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
37 CHON Taylor A. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
38 DENNER Maximilian P. - - 4% 15% 34% 34% 13%
39 SO Hananiah - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
40 PRIMUS Nazir - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
41 ZHANG Yupeng 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
42 PAN Alex 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
43 OH Triton 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
44 HOLZ William A. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
45 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 6%
45 MORRILL Justin - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
47 PRIEST Leighton K. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
48 WOOD Elden S. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
49 ESCUETA Tony V. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
50 WALKER Dalton F. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
51 PATEL Rayn 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
52 KUSHKOV Daniel 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
53 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
54 BERRIO Carter E. - 2% 12% 29% 36% 18% 3%
55 HUANG Ethan F. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
56 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
57 GUFFEY Christopher - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
58 LIN Maxim 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
59 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
60 HWANG Jayden 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
61 KALPATHY Rohit 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
62 HONG Rubin 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
63 CHAVES Matthew J. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
64 BULL Anderson 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
65 LEE Aydan J. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
66 YAO JINCHENG 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
67 WONG Ryan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
68 CHOI Silas - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
69 CHAN Matthew - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
70 REN James - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
71 POFF Kainoa 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% < 1% -
72 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
73 WITEK Bernard J. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
74 HJERPE Wade H. 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
75 HU Chris 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
76 SU Landon 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
77 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
78 SLASTIN Andrew - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
79 PENG Bryan 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
80 BERMAN Luca - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
81 TENG MATTHEW 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
82 KIM Ethan 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
83 ZHANG Derek 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
84 ERMAKOV Lev - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
85 JIANG Anthony - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
86 TAO Jeffrey 4% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
87 NG Jonathan 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
88 NADILE Henry V. - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
89 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
90 JOO Jeein 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
91 ENGEL Peter 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
92 LIU Lawrence 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
93 RIGHTLER Samuel - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
94 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
95 HUANG Alex F. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
96 CHABENAT Guillaume 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
97 BUCHMANN Finn D. 1% 8% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
98 KIM-COGAN Ryan 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
98 BARRIOS Diego 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
100 POSY Daniel 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
101 YAO JINTAO 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
102 AKS Ari 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
103 BAE Jason I. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
104 HOPPA Luke H. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
104 PASTORE LIU Vince 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
106 YAN William 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
107 MAYER SHEPARD Julian - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
108 CRAIG Samuel 3% 19% 38% 30% 8% -
109 MAYER SHEPARD Esteban 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
110 LI Yiwei 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
111 ERMAKOV Semeon 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% 1%
112 ZUBATIY Samuel 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
113 YANG Ziyi 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
114 HOTHA Nikhil 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
115 LIN Daniel 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
116 GREENBAUM Ian L. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
117 NGO Maximus 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
118 KWALWASSER Eric 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
119 BAUER Hank E. 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
120 SAVOY Luca 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
121 MATTOO Deven 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
122 SO Si Hang Alvin 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
123 KANG Evan R. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
124 MEHAN Nicholas 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
125 VAID Luke 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
126 CORTEZ Christopher 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
127 BYON Julian 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
127 ROE Finnegan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
129 JEFFORDS Alexander - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
129 HARTEL Davis 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
131 TANN Justin 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
131 KILARI Krish 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
133 KATZ Ryan 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
134 DEPEW Spencer 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 3% -
135 MATTOO Surya 7% 24% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
136 BERKAY Deniz - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
137 YAN Kevin 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
138 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
139 MCCARTHY Gabriel 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
140 YANG Dylan 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
141 CHUNG Connor 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
142 KROON Lucas 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
143 MICHELL Bailey 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
144 SOWERS Samuel 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
145 MAY Griffin M. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
146 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
146 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
148 ZHAO Lucas 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
149 ANAND Rohan 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
150 DENG Andrew - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
151 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
152 FORMENTI Giulio 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
153 BROU Inkosi 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
153 KANG Evan 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
155 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
156 BYON Adrian 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
157 COLE Alexander 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
158 HONG Steven 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
159 FELDMAN Drew 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
160 NGUYEN Anthony 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
161 BOSITA Carson 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
162 FIELDS Matthew S. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
163 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
164 LIU Kevin 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
165 PI Alexander - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
166 SUORSA Markus 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
166 CHEN Jonathan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
166 TIAGI Daniel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
166 GLOZMAN Justin 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
166 SUN George 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
171 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
171 RAMANAN Govind 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
173 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
173 KIM ELIJAH 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
175 TIAGI George 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
176 CHEN Samuel 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
177 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
178 WANG Daniel 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
179 WANG Justin 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
180 DUDNICK Christian 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
181 SHIPITSIN Alexander 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
182 NOURELDIN Gabriel 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.