National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
7 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
8 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
9 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
10 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
11 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
12 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
13 KOGAN Ben 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 6%
14 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
15 FENG Leo 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
16 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
17 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
18 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
18 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
20 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
21 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
22 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
23 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
24 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
25 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
26 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
27 QIU Nathan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
28 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
29 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 4%
30 LIM William J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 9%
31 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
32 LIN Nick 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
33 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
34 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
35 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
36 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
37 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
38 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
39 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
40 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
41 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
42 PAN Alex 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
43 OH Triton 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
44 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 19% 3%
45 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
45 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
47 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
48 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
49 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
50 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
51 PATEL Rayn 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
52 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
53 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
54 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
55 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
56 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
57 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
58 LIN Maxim 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
59 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
60 HWANG Jayden 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
61 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
62 HONG Rubin 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
63 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
64 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
65 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
66 YAO JINCHENG 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
67 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
68 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
69 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
70 REN James 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 26% 4%
71 POFF Kainoa 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% < 1% -
72 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
73 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
74 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
75 HU Chris 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
76 SU Landon 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
77 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
78 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 11%
79 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6% -
80 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
81 TENG MATTHEW 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
82 KIM Ethan 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
83 ZHANG Derek 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
84 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 47% 11%
85 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
86 TAO Jeffrey 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
87 NG Jonathan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
88 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
89 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
90 JOO Jeein 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
91 ENGEL Peter 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
92 LIU Lawrence 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
93 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
94 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
95 HUANG Alex F. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
96 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
97 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 11% 2%
98 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
98 BARRIOS Diego 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
100 POSY Daniel 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
101 YAO JINTAO 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
102 AKS Ari 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
103 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 35% 8%
104 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
104 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
106 YAN William 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
107 MAYER SHEPARD Julian 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
108 CRAIG Samuel 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% -
109 MAYER SHEPARD Esteban 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
110 LI Yiwei 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
111 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1%
112 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
113 YANG Ziyi 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
114 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
115 LIN Daniel 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
116 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
117 NGO Maximus 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
118 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
119 BAUER Hank E. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
120 SAVOY Luca 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
121 MATTOO Deven 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
122 SO Si Hang Alvin 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
123 KANG Evan R. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
124 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
125 VAID Luke 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
126 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
127 BYON Julian 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
127 ROE Finnegan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
129 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
129 HARTEL Davis 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
131 TANN Justin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
131 KILARI Krish 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
133 KATZ Ryan 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
134 DEPEW Spencer 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
135 MATTOO Surya 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
136 BERKAY Deniz 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
137 YAN Kevin 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
138 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
139 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
140 YANG Dylan 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
141 CHUNG Connor 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
142 KROON Lucas 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
143 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
144 SOWERS Samuel 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
145 MAY Griffin M. 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
146 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
146 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
148 ZHAO Lucas 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
149 ANAND Rohan 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
150 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
151 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
152 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
153 BROU Inkosi 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
153 KANG Evan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
155 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
156 BYON Adrian 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
157 COLE Alexander 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
158 HONG Steven 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
159 FELDMAN Drew 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
160 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
161 BOSITA Carson 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
162 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
163 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
164 LIU Kevin 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
165 PI Alexander 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
166 SUORSA Markus 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
166 CHEN Jonathan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
166 TIAGI Daniel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
166 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
166 SUN George 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
171 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
171 RAMANAN Govind 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
173 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
173 KIM ELIJAH 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
175 TIAGI George 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
176 CHEN Samuel 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
177 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
178 WANG Daniel 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
179 WANG Justin 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
180 DUDNICK Christian 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
181 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
182 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.