National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KER Grace - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
2 LIM Jaslene - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
3 OISHI Megumi - - - 1% 17% 82%
3 TSE Angelina - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
5 HILD Nisha - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
5 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
7 NATH Trisha - - - 3% 16% 45% 37%
8 MANN Sophia J. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 29% 4%
9 ENDO Miyuki N. - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
10 ATTIA Jasmine 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
11 PRIEUR Lauren - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
12 DRAGON Rainer - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
13 WANG Alice - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
14 STAPLETON Lindsay K. - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 23%
15 CHIANG Melissa - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
16 MANKOVA Varvara - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
17 SAYLES Nina R. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
18 XIONG Haojiao - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
19 GEYER Carolina M. - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 22%
20 LIU Sydney 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
21 GRULICH Rayaana 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
22 BARNOVITZ Maya - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
23 HE Charlotte - - 2% 14% 35% 38% 10%
24 BUSH Bethany 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
25 PABIAN Emilia - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
26 FANG Victoria W. - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
27 WANG Gloria Ruoyan - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
28 MARTURANO Bridget H. - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 23%
29 LEE Sophia - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
30 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 4% 22% 38% 28% 7% -
31 TONG Jessie - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 5%
32 ZHANG Sophie 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
33 HUNG Anna - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
34 KRASTEV Minna - - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
35 SPEARS Mya B - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
36 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. - 5% 21% 41% 30% 3%
37 CARTER Keely 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
38 HU Anna - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
39 DANG Kelia - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
40 KHAN Alissa - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
41 SCOTT Eve - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
42 TAN Adelyn - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
43 COLTER Aurora - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
44 XIE Nora 2% 12% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
45 LUKER Sophia - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
46 HUANG MADELINE - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
47 NAIR Supriya 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
48 LO Chloe 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
49 YANG Lea - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
50 ZENG Sarah - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
51 LITTLE Avery - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
51 PROBASCO Leila 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
53 SINGER Ellery 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
54 KNOBEL Sophia 1% 10% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
55 REAVIS Isabel 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
56 ZHENG Valentina 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
57 GOLOVITSER Maya 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
58 MERCHANT Aishwarya 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
59 LUKER Hannah 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
60 BERNARD Kathryn 11% 34% 36% 17% 3% -
61 CARLUCCI Laura A. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
62 BROCK Sydney - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
63 DAVIS Jayna M. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
64 BLAKE Anna 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
65 KINKADE Ellie - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
66 DUCKETT Leighton 30% 43% 22% 4% - - -
67 KITSON Sasha 63% 31% 6% - - - -
68 MCSWEENEY Kylie 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
69 SADANI Jyotika 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
70 SHELLEY Scarlett 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
71 MYAT Chloe 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
72 DAI Olivia - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
73 MACKAY Katherine 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
74 GOSAVI Aabolee 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
75 XU Kaylyn 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
76 DEHON Inès 5% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
77 KANDADAI Lara 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
77 GENTILE Vittoria 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
79 CHEN Kevy 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
80 ALTMAN Leigh - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
81 DUDNICK Morgan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
82 XU Emily T. 6% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
83 ZHAI AMY 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
83 SENTHIL Tejas 75% 22% 3% - - - -
85 GOMERMAN Sophia - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
86 ONG Lauren 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
87 HITOMI Nadya 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% -
88 ISBERG Natalie 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
89 SCHOON REBECCA 20% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
89 WALLER London 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
91 ASHTIANI Shaya 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
92 HAN Emma 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
93 KHOST Maeve 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
94 DUCKETT Retta 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
95 TESTROET Aubrey 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
96 ZHAN Sophie 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
96 SUHALIM Maree 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
98 CHAMI Lana 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
99 BARROSO Isabela 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
100 STONE Coral 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
101 GLUCK Myriam 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
102 NEWMARK Ellie 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.